Federica Urgesi - Maja Chwalinska: our prediction
11/05/2026•19:00

#198

Federica Urgesi
1:0
6•3
Finished

#114

Maja Chwalinska
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1
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X
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2
Federica Urgesi vs Maja Chwalinska Preview — Parma
Maja Chwalinska, the heavy favorite, faces Federica Urgesi in Parma. Chwalinska has a 70% win rate and is favored, while Urgesi has only 30% wins.
Our Federica Urgesi vs Maja Chwalinska predictions
Victory for Maja Chwalinska
Chwalinska is the favorite with odds of 1.09. She has an overall win rate of 70% and 70% as a favorite. Urgesi has only 30% wins and 0% as a favorite. Recent form and statistics clearly favor Chwalinska.
1.1
Confidence
Very high
Under 2.5 sets
Both players have a 70% rate of matches in 2 sets (outside Grand Slams). Chwalinska, as a favorite, has 70% of her matches in 2 sets. Urgesi, as an underdog, also has 70% of her matches in 2 sets. A 2-set match is therefore very likely.
1.22
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games
With a high probability of a 2-set match, the total number of games should be under 22.5. A close 2-set match could reach 12-10 or 13-11, but remains under 22.5 games. The trend for both players is towards short matches.
1.25
Confidence
High
Market signals on Federica Urgesi vs Maja Chwalinska
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Federica Urgesi vs Maja Chwalinska Statistics
Win
Win | Lose | 3 7 | 7 3 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 37% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 0% | 70% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 60% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 66% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 25% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 100% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 70% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 100% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 0% | 40% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 60% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 33% |
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