Hailey Baptiste - Katerina Siniakova: our prediction
12/05/2026
Hailey / Alexandra
11:00
Tomorrow
Katerina / Taylor
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X
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Hailey Baptiste vs Katerina Siniakova Preview — Internazionali BNL d'Italia
First round match of the Italian Open between Hailey Baptiste and Katerina Siniakova. Both players are close in recent form, with a slight advantage for Baptiste (60% wins) against 50% for Siniakova. The match is played on clay, a surface that could suit both players.
Our Hailey Baptiste vs Katerina Siniakova predictions
Over 22.5 games in the match
With a high probability of a 3-set match (over 2.5 sets), the total number of games should exceed 22.5. Both players have a high percentage of tight matches, and the clay surface favors long rallies and contested games.
2
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 sets in the match
Baptiste has 60% of her non-Grand Slam matches going to 3 sets, and Siniakova 50%. Additionally, as a favorite, Baptiste loses at least 1 set in 60% of cases, and Siniakova 50%. Both players tend to be involved in tight matches, making a third set likely.
2
Confidence
High
Victory for Hailey Baptiste
Baptiste has an overall win rate of 60% and 70% when favorite, compared to 60% for Siniakova. Additionally, Baptiste has a better win rate as favorite in this odds range (50% vs 100% for Siniakova, but on a small sample). Recent form and the psychological advantage of playing at home (or almost) could make the difference.
2
Confidence
High
Market signals on Hailey Baptiste vs Katerina Siniakova
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Hailey Baptiste vs Katerina Siniakova Statistics
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 6 4 | 5 5 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 30% | 40% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 55% | 30% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 30% | 40% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 60% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 40% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 33% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 25% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 50% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 70% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 66% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 83% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 50% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 50% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 83% | 0% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 80% |
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