Rugby

Tennis

Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Marcelo Melo: our prediction

13/05/2026

Nicolas / Mario

15:30

Today

Marcelo / Andres

Nicolas Alvarez Varona vs Marcelo Melo Preview — Valencia

Nicolas Alvarez Varona faces Marcelo Melo in Valencia. Alvarez Varona, the favorite, has a 40% win rate in his last 10 matches, while Melo has not won any of his last 2 matches. The match is played outdoors, likely on clay.

Our Nicolas Alvarez Varona vs Marcelo Melo predictions

Under 2.5 sets in the match

As mentioned, Alvarez Varona has 50% of his matches in 2 sets and Melo 100%. As a favorite, Alvarez Varona wins 70% of his matches in 2 sets. The probability of the match ending in 2 sets is therefore high, corresponding to under 2.5 sets.

1.7

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 games in the match

Alvarez Varona has a 50% rate of matches in 2 sets (outside Grand Slams) and Melo has 100% of his matches in 2 sets. Additionally, Alvarez Varona as a favorite wins 70% of his matches in 2 sets. This suggests a quick match with few games.

1.8

Confidence

High

Victory for Nicolas Alvarez Varona

Alvarez Varona is the favorite with a 40% win rate in his last 10 matches, while Melo has not won any of his last 2 matches. Alvarez Varona also has a good win rate as a favorite (40%) and Melo has never won as an underdog. The surface (clay) could favor Alvarez Varona.

1.5

Confidence

High

Market signals on Nicolas Alvarez Varona vs Marcelo Melo

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Nicolas Alvarez Varona vs Marcelo Melo Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Nicolas Alvarez Varona	Marcelo Melo
Win \| Lose	4 6	2
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	30%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	40%	0%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	40%	0%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	40%	0%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	30%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	42%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	0%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	100%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	57%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	0%

Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite

	1	2
Global	70%	0%
rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	60%	0%
rated between 1.51 and 1.80	80%	0%

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