Jan Choinski - Daniel Galan: our prediction
14/05/2026
#122
Jan Choinski
11:30
Today
#70
Daniel Galan
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2
Jan Choinski vs Daniel Galan Preview — Zagreb
Jan Choinski faces Daniel Galan in Zagreb. Both players have a similar win percentage (40%), but Choinski is the favorite with odds at 1.63. Galan tends to play matches in 2 sets when favorite (80%), while Choinski often loses at least one set when favorite (70%).
Our Jan Choinski vs Daniel Galan predictions
Victory of Jan Choinski
Choinski is the favorite with odds at 1.63. Although both players have a global win rate of 40%, Choinski has a better win rate as a favorite in this odds range (83.33% between 1.21 and 1.5). Galan, on the other hand, has a win rate as an outsider of only 30%.
1.62
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 sets in the match
Choinski often loses at least one set when favorite (70% of his matches). Moreover, 50% of his matches outside of Grand Slams go to 3 sets. Galan, when an outsider, has 50% of his matches in 3 sets. The probability of a tight match is high.
2.22
Confidence
High
Over 22.5 games in the match
With a high probability of 3 sets (over 2.5 sets), the total number of games could exceed 22.5. A tight 3-set match (e.g., 7-6, 3-6, 7-6) would total 35 games. Even a less tight 3-set match (6-4, 3-6, 6-3) gives 28 games. The tendency of both players to lose/win sets supports this option.
1.93
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Jan Choinski vs Daniel Galan
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Jan Choinski vs Daniel Galan Statistics
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 4 6 | 4 6 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 25% | 60% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 75% | 40% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 16% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 83% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 25% | 60% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 75% | 40% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 60% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 85% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 66% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 16% | 33% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 40% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 83% | 66% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 80% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 50% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 57% | 75% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 33% |
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