Rugby

Tennis

Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Matteo Berrettini: our prediction

14/05/2026

#29

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

16:00

Today

Matteo Berrettini

Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Matteo Berrettini Preview — Valencia

Match of the Valencia tournament between Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Matteo Berrettini. Berrettini is the favorite with odds of 1.52, but Carabelli has a good record as an outsider (40% wins). Berrettini tends to lose sets even when favorite (70% of his matches).

Our Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Matteo Berrettini predictions

Victory of Matteo Berrettini

Berrettini is clearly favored with odds of 1.52, and his record as a favorite is solid (50% wins). Carabelli, although an outsider, has a 40% win rate as an outsider, but Berrettini has the advantage on paper and on fast surface.

1.53

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 sets in the match

Berrettini often loses at least one set as a favorite (70% of his matches), and Carabelli has a good rate of winning at least one set as an outsider (50%). The match could therefore go to 3 sets.

2.3

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 games in the match

Although the match could go to 3 sets, Berrettini tends to win his matches in 2 sets (70% of his non-Grand Slam matches). If Berrettini wins in 2 sets, the total number of games could be under 22.5.

1.78

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Matteo Berrettini

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Matteo Berrettini Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Camilo Ugo Carabelli	Matteo Berrettini
Win \| Lose	5 5	4 6
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	75%	30%
% of match in 4 sets or more	25%	60%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	30%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	60%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	75%	30%
% of match in 4 sets or more	25%	70%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	80%	50%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	75%	50%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	83%	0%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	25%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	40%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	75%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	80%

Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite

	1	2
Global	50%	70%
rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.80	50%	100%

Betting actions

Manage your bets and alerts

TODAY'S OFFERS

Exclusive new customer offers