Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Matteo Berrettini: our prediction
14/05/2026
#29
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
16:00
Today
#6
Matteo Berrettini
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2
Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Matteo Berrettini Preview — Valencia
Match of the Valencia tournament between Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Matteo Berrettini. Berrettini is the favorite with odds of 1.52, but Carabelli has a good record as an outsider (40% wins). Berrettini tends to lose sets even when favorite (70% of his matches).
Our Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Matteo Berrettini predictions
Victory of Matteo Berrettini
Berrettini is clearly favored with odds of 1.52, and his record as a favorite is solid (50% wins). Carabelli, although an outsider, has a 40% win rate as an outsider, but Berrettini has the advantage on paper and on fast surface.
1.53
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 sets in the match
Berrettini often loses at least one set as a favorite (70% of his matches), and Carabelli has a good rate of winning at least one set as an outsider (50%). The match could therefore go to 3 sets.
2.3
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
Although the match could go to 3 sets, Berrettini tends to win his matches in 2 sets (70% of his non-Grand Slam matches). If Berrettini wins in 2 sets, the total number of games could be under 22.5.
1.78
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Matteo Berrettini
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Matteo Berrettini Statistics
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 5 5 | 4 6 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 75% | 30% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 25% | 60% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 30% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 60% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 75% | 30% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 25% | 70% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 50% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 83% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 25% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 40% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 80% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 70% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 50% | 100% |
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