Juan Manuel La Serna - Valerio Aboian: our prediction
14/05/2026
#263
Juan Manuel La Serna
16:00
Today
#56
Valerio Aboian
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Juan Manuel La Serna vs Valerio Aboian Preview — Cordoba
Match between Juan Manuel La Serna and Valerio Aboian in Cordoba. Both players are statistically close, with a slight advantage for Aboian in the last 10 matches (60% wins). La Serna is the favorite according to odds (1.67 vs 2.07).
Our Juan Manuel La Serna vs Valerio Aboian predictions
Under 2.5 sets in the match
As mentioned, both players have a high percentage of matches ending in 2 sets (70% for La Serna, 80% for Aboian). This makes a 2-set match likely, hence under 2.5 sets.
1.53
Confidence
High (65 %)
Under 22.5 games in the match
Both players tend to finish their matches in 2 sets (70% for La Serna, 80% for Aboian). Additionally, as a favorite, Aboian finishes 90% of his matches in 2 sets. This suggests a short match with under 22.5 games.
1.67
Confidence
High (65 %)
Victory of Valerio Aboian
Valerio Aboian won 60% of his last 10 matches, compared to 50% for La Serna. Although La Serna is the favorite according to odds, Aboian has shown better recent form and an ability to win as an outsider (30% outsider wins). The odds of 2.07 offer good value.
1.98
Confidence
Medium (50 %)
Market signals on Juan Manuel La Serna vs Valerio Aboian
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Juan Manuel La Serna vs Valerio Aboian Statistics
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 5 5 | 6 4 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 80% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 66% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 83% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 66% | 66% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 33% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 20% | 20% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 33% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 40% | 60% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 30% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 33% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 33% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 33% | 33% |
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