Rugby

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Jannik Sinner - Daniil Medvedev: our prediction

15/05/2026

Jannik Sinner

19:00

Today

Daniil Medvedev

Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev Preview — Internazionali BNL d'Italia

Jannik Sinner faces Daniil Medvedev at the 2026 Internazionali BNL d'Italia. Sinner, favorite with odds of 1.06, is in great form and has not lost any of his last 10 matches. Medvedev, underdog at 9.16, has a record of 6 wins and 4 losses. The match is played on clay, Sinner's preferred surface.

Our Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev predictions

Victory of Jannik Sinner

Sinner is full of confidence with 10 consecutive wins, 100% as a favorite. Medvedev, although talented, has a 40% loss rate and only won 30% of his matches as an underdog. The clay surface favors Sinner.

1.06

Confidence

Very high

Under 2.5 sets in the match

Sinner wins 90% of his matches in 2 sets (excluding Grand Slams), indicating a high probability of a two-set victory. Medvedev, although capable of pushing to three sets, has lost 40% of his matches, and Sinner is in top form to finish quickly.

1.23

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 games in the match

Sinner won 90% of his matches in 2 sets (excluding Grand Slams), suggesting quick matches. Medvedev tends to play more sets, but against a dominant Sinner, the match could end in two tight sets, with under 22.5 games.

1.35

Confidence

High

Market signals on Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Jannik Sinner	Daniil Medvedev
Win \| Lose	10	6 4
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	60%	20%
% of match in 4 sets or more	40%	80%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	60%	30%
% of match in 4 sets or more	40%	70%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	30%	50%
% of match in 4 sets or more	70%	50%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	100%	70%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	66%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	0%	100%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	25%	25%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	33%	66%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	80%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	25%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	66%

Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite

	1	2
Global	10%	70%
rated between 1.00 and 1.20	10%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	66%
rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	50%

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