Jannik Sinner - Daniil Medvedev: our prediction
15/05/2026
#1
Jannik Sinner
19:00
Today
#2
Daniil Medvedev
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1
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X
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2
Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev Preview — Internazionali BNL d'Italia
Jannik Sinner faces Daniil Medvedev at the 2026 Internazionali BNL d'Italia. Sinner, favorite with odds of 1.06, is in great form and has not lost any of his last 10 matches. Medvedev, underdog at 9.16, has a record of 6 wins and 4 losses. The match is played on clay, Sinner's preferred surface.
Our Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev predictions
Victory of Jannik Sinner
Sinner is full of confidence with 10 consecutive wins, 100% as a favorite. Medvedev, although talented, has a 40% loss rate and only won 30% of his matches as an underdog. The clay surface favors Sinner.
1.06
Confidence
Very high
Under 2.5 sets in the match
Sinner wins 90% of his matches in 2 sets (excluding Grand Slams), indicating a high probability of a two-set victory. Medvedev, although capable of pushing to three sets, has lost 40% of his matches, and Sinner is in top form to finish quickly.
1.23
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
Sinner won 90% of his matches in 2 sets (excluding Grand Slams), suggesting quick matches. Medvedev tends to play more sets, but against a dominant Sinner, the match could end in two tight sets, with under 22.5 games.
1.35
Confidence
High
Market signals on Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev Statistics
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 10 | 6 4 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 60% | 20% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 40% | 80% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 60% | 30% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 40% | 70% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 30% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 70% | 50% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 100% | 70% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 66% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 100% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 25% | 25% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 33% | 66% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 25% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 66% | 66% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 10% | 70% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 10% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 66% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 50% |
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