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Orlando Luz - Sander Arends: our prediction

16/05/2026•14:15

Orlando / Rafael

1:2

5•7

7•6

8•10

Finished

Sander / David

Orlando Luz vs Sander Arends Preview — Valencia

Match between Orlando Luz and Sander Arends at the Valencia tournament. Luz is favorite with odds of 1.58, but his recent record is mixed (30% wins). Arends, underdog at 2.22, has only played one match, which he lost. The match is likely to be decided in 2 sets.

Our Orlando Luz vs Sander Arends predictions

Under 2.5 sets in the match

As mentioned, Luz finishes 60% of his matches in 2 sets and Arends 100% of his matches in 2 sets. The probability that this match ends in 2 sets is therefore high, which corresponds to under 2.5 sets. This bet is consistent with the 'under 22.5 games' bet.

1.57

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 games in the match

Statistics show that Luz plays 60% of his matches in 2 sets, and Arends 100% of his matches in 2 sets. A match in 2 sets generally implies fewer than 22.5 games. Additionally, Luz tends to lose sets when favored (70%), but Arends has little experience, which could lead to a quick match.

1.58

Confidence

High

Victory for Orlando Luz

Orlando Luz is the favorite with odds of 1.58. Although his overall win percentage is low (30%), he has a good record as a favorite (60% wins). Sander Arends has only played one match, which he lost, and has no wins as an underdog. Luz has more experience and credentials on the tour.

1.58

Confidence

High

Market signals on Orlando Luz vs Sander Arends

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Orlando Luz vs Sander Arends Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Orlando Luz	Sander Arends
Win \| Lose	3 7	1
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	60%	0%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	66%	0%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	57%	0%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	20%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	25%	0%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	30%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	60%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	0%