Ignacio Buse - Hugo Gaston: our prediction
17/05/2026
#60
Ignacio Buse
12:00
Today
#62
Hugo Gaston
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Ignacio Buse vs Hugo Gaston Preview — Hamburg European Open, Qualification
Qualifying match for the Hamburg tournament on clay between Ignacio Buse and Hugo Gaston. Buse is the favorite with odds of 1.30, but the more experienced Frenchman Gaston could cause an upset.
Our Ignacio Buse vs Hugo Gaston predictions
Under 2.5 sets in the match
As mentioned, both players have a strong tendency to finish their matches in 2 sets (Buse 70%, Gaston 80%). This makes the 'under 2.5 sets' bet very likely, consistent with the 'under 22.5 games' bet.
1.44
Confidence
High (65%)
Under 22.5 games in the match
Both players have a high percentage of matches in 2 sets outside of Grand Slams: Buse 70% and Gaston 80%. Additionally, as a favorite, Gaston wins 70% of his matches in 2 sets. This suggests a relatively short match with few games.
1.61
Confidence
High (65%)
Victory for Hugo Gaston
Although Buse is the favorite, Gaston has a 40% win rate in his last 10 matches and has shown a good ability to win as an underdog (30% wins). His experience on clay and higher ATP ranking (unspecified but presumed) could make the difference. The odds of 3.38 are interesting for a value bet.
3.41
Confidence
Medium (50%)
Market signals on Ignacio Buse vs Hugo Gaston
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Ignacio Buse vs Hugo Gaston Statistics
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 5 5 | 4 6 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 100% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 40% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 66% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 33% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 100% | 60% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 30% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 60% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 75% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 60% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 50% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 16% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 33% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 50% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 60% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 25% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 80% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 50% | 50% |
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