Aleksandar Kovacevic - Arthur Gea: our prediction
17/05/2026
#31
Aleksandar Kovacevic
13:00
Today
#35
Arthur Gea
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Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Arthur Gea Preview — Hamburg European Open, Qualification
Qualification match for the Hamburg European Open between Aleksandar Kovacevic and Arthur Gea. The two players are close in odds, with a slight advantage for Gea. Kovacevic tends to play 3-set matches (60% outside Grand Slams), while Gea finishes more often in 2 sets (60%). Gea is the favorite according to bookmakers.
Our Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Arthur Gea predictions
Victory for Arthur Gea
Arthur Gea is the favorite (odds at 1.86) and shows an overall win rate of 60% in his last 10 matches, compared to 40% for Kovacevic. As a favorite, Gea wins 70% of his matches, while Kovacevic only wins 60% when favored. Gea also performs better as an underdog (50% wins) than Kovacevic (40%). The surface is not specified, but recent form and win statistics favor Gea.
1.86
Confidence
High (65%)
Under 2.5 sets
Gea finishes 60% of his matches in 2 sets (outside Grand Slams), and Kovacevic 40%. However, Kovacevic plays 60% of his matches in 3 sets. As a favorite, Gea wins in 2 sets in 60% of cases, while Kovacevic as a favorite wins in 2 sets in 70% of cases. But here, Gea is the favorite and Kovacevic the underdog. Kovacevic as an underdog plays 70% of his matches in 3 sets. The match is balanced, but Gea's tendency to finish quickly and the fact that he is the favorite suggest a 2-set match. Additionally, the odds for under 2.5 sets are attractive.
1.57
Confidence
High (65%)
Under 22.5 games
If the match ends in 2 sets, the number of games is generally under 22.5. Gea tends to win quickly, and Kovacevic as an underdog could lose in 2 sets. A tight 2-set match could exceed 22.5 games, but the probability is lower. Confidence is medium because the match could also be more competitive than expected.
1.89
Confidence
Medium (50%)
Market signals on Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Arthur Gea
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Arthur Gea Statistics
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 4 6 | 6 4 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 50% | 50% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 100% | 100% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 55% | 100% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 44% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 70% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 50% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 85% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 25% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 60% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 33% | 57% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 90% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 50% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 57% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 60% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 42% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 75% | 100% |
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