Maria Sakkari - Peyton Stearns: our prediction

Maria Sakkari is the favorite, with odds of 1.88. She has an 80% win rate when favored and is a seeded player. Peyton Stearns, although the underdog, has a 60% win rate when favored, but only 30% as an underdog. Sakkari also has a higher win percentage in 2 sets (80% vs 60% for Stearns). The trend is therefore clearly in favor of Sakkari.

As mentioned, both players finish 70% of their matches in 2 sets. Sakkari, as the favorite, wins 80% of her matches in 2 sets. Stearns, even as an underdog, wins 50% of her matches in 2 sets. The probability that the match ends in 2 sets is therefore very high, corresponding to under 2.5 sets.

Both players have a strong tendency to finish their matches in 2 sets (70% each). Sakkari, as the favorite, wins 80% of her matches in 2 sets. Stearns, even as an underdog, wins 50% of her matches in 2 sets. The probability of a tight but short match is high, making the total games under 22.5 very likely.