Maria Sakkari - Peyton Stearns: our prediction
17/05/2026
#5
Maria Sakkari
12:30
Today
#29
Peyton Stearns
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Maria Sakkari vs Peyton Stearns Preview — Internationaux de Strasbourg
Maria Sakkari faces Peyton Stearns in the first round of the Internationaux de Strasbourg. Sakkari is the favorite with odds of 1.88, but Stearns, the underdog at 1.91, has shown good recent resistance. The match promises to be tight, with a tendency to be decided in 2 sets.
Our Maria Sakkari vs Peyton Stearns predictions
Victory of Maria Sakkari
Maria Sakkari is the favorite, with odds of 1.88. She has an 80% win rate when favored and is a seeded player. Peyton Stearns, although the underdog, has a 60% win rate when favored, but only 30% as an underdog. Sakkari also has a higher win percentage in 2 sets (80% vs 60% for Stearns). The trend is therefore clearly in favor of Sakkari.
1.89
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 sets in the match
As mentioned, both players finish 70% of their matches in 2 sets. Sakkari, as the favorite, wins 80% of her matches in 2 sets. Stearns, even as an underdog, wins 50% of her matches in 2 sets. The probability that the match ends in 2 sets is therefore very high, corresponding to under 2.5 sets.
1.55
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
Both players have a strong tendency to finish their matches in 2 sets (70% each). Sakkari, as the favorite, wins 80% of her matches in 2 sets. Stearns, even as an underdog, wins 50% of her matches in 2 sets. The probability of a tight but short match is high, making the total games under 22.5 very likely.
1.71
Confidence
High
Market signals on Maria Sakkari vs Peyton Stearns
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Maria Sakkari vs Peyton Stearns Statistics
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 4 6 | 4 6 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 10% | 20% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 10% | 20% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 22% | 30% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 60% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 66% | 50% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 33% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 25% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 33% | 33% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 75% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 60% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 25% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 66% | 75% |
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