Colton Smith - Alvaro Guillen Meza: our prediction
19/05/2026•11:45
#186
Colton Smith
2:0
7•5
6•1
Finished
#67
Alvaro Guillen Meza
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1
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X
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2
Colton Smith vs Alvaro Guillen Meza Preview — Roland Garros, Qualification ATP
Roland Garros qualifying match between Colton Smith and Alvaro Guillen Meza. Smith is the favorite with odds of 1.66, but his recent record is poor (20% wins). Guillen Meza, the underdog at 2.08, has a 40% win rate and shows better resilience, especially as an underdog.
Our Colton Smith vs Alvaro Guillen Meza predictions
Over 2.5 sets in the match
Both players tend to play tight matches. Smith has lost at least one set in 50% of his matches as a favorite, while Guillen Meza has lost at least one set in 90% of his matches as a favorite. As an underdog, Guillen Meza has won at least one set in 60% of his matches. These statistics suggest a high probability of both players winning at least one set, leading to a 3-set match.
2.25
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
Although the match could go to 3 sets, statistics show that Smith finishes 80% of his matches in 2 sets (outside Grand Slams) and Guillen Meza 60%. Even in 3 sets, the total number of games could stay under 22.5 if the sets are tight but quick. The odds of 1.66 for under 22.5 are more likely than over, as both players tend not to prolong matches excessively.
1.66
Confidence
Medium
Victory for Alvaro Guillen Meza
Although Smith is the favorite, his recent win rate is very low (20%). Guillen Meza has a better overall record (40% wins) and performs better as an underdog (40% wins). Furthermore, Guillen Meza has won at least one set in 60% of his matches as an underdog, showing his ability to compete. The odds of 2.08 offer good value.
2.1
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Colton Smith vs Alvaro Guillen Meza
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Colton Smith vs Alvaro Guillen Meza Statistics
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 2 8 | 4 6 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 40% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 33% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 80% | 66% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 33% | 25% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 20% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 20% | 33% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 33% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 20% | 66% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 33% | 66% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 90% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 40% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 66% | 75% |
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