Alejandro Moro Canas - Stefano Napolitano: our prediction
18/05/2026•18:25
#100
Alejandro Moro Canas
2:1
4•6
7•6
6•0
Finished
#164
Stefano Napolitano
-
1
-
X
-
2
Alejandro Moro Canas vs Stefano Napolitano Preview — Roland Garros, Qualification ATP
Roland Garros qualification match between Alejandro Moro Canas and Stefano Napolitano. The two players are very close on paper, with tight odds. Napolitano has a slight edge in recent form on clay, but Moro Canas has home crowd support.
Our Alejandro Moro Canas vs Stefano Napolitano predictions
Under 2.5 sets in the match
Statistics show that outside of Grand Slams, Moro Canas finishes 60% of his matches in 2 sets and Napolitano 70%. In Grand Slams, data is limited but Napolitano has 50% of matches in 3 sets. The general trend is towards a 2-set match, making the 'under 2.5 sets' bet consistent with 'under 22.5 games'.
1.55
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
Both players tend to finish their matches in 2 sets outside of Grand Slams (60% for Moro Canas, 70% for Napolitano). In Grand Slams, Napolitano has 50% of his matches in 3 sets. However, recent form and the surface (clay) suggest a tight match but not necessarily a very long one. The odds of 1.77 for under 22.5 games are interesting.
1.79
Confidence
High
Victory for Stefano Napolitano
Stefano Napolitano has a 60% win rate in his last 10 matches, compared to 50% for Moro Canas. As a favorite, Napolitano wins 70% of the time, while Moro Canas wins only 60%. Additionally, Napolitano has a better record as an underdog (40% wins) than Moro Canas (50% as an underdog). The odds of 1.95 for Napolitano are attractive.
1.96
Confidence
High
Market signals on Alejandro Moro Canas vs Stefano Napolitano
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Alejandro Moro Canas vs Stefano Napolitano Statistics
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 5 5 | 6 4 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 100% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 50% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 100% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 70% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 50% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 80% | 75% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 33% | 75% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 40% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 60% | 50% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 40% | 80% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 50% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 50% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 40% | 25% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 66% | 50% |
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