Lukas Neumayer - Alex Bolt: our prediction
18/05/2026•17:45
#170
Lukas Neumayer
2:0
6•0
6•1
Finished
#80
Alex Bolt
-
1
-
X
-
2
Lukas Neumayer vs Alex Bolt Preview — Roland Garros, Qualification ATP
Roland Garros qualifying match between Lukas Neumayer and Alex Bolt. Neumayer is the favorite with odds of 1.13, but Bolt has more experience on clay in Grand Slams. Neumayer has a good win rate as a favorite, while Bolt tends to push matches to 3 sets when an underdog.
Our Lukas Neumayer vs Alex Bolt predictions
Victory for Lukas Neumayer
Neumayer is the favorite with odds of 1.13, indicating a high probability of victory. He has an 80% win rate as a favorite (8/10) and 70% overall. Bolt, although experienced, has a 60% win rate and has only won 20% as an underdog. The clay surface and Grand Slam format favor Neumayer.
1.13
Confidence
Very high
Under 2.5 sets in the match
Neumayer has 80% of his matches in 2 sets when favorite, and Bolt has 60% of his matches in 2 sets. The probability of the match ending in 2 sets is high, corresponding to under 2.5 sets.
1.32
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
Neumayer, as a favorite, often finishes matches in 2 sets (80% in 2 sets when favorite). Bolt, as an underdog, has 60% of his matches in 2 sets. With Neumayer's expected dominance, the match should end in under 22.5 games.
1.5
Confidence
High
Market signals on Lukas Neumayer vs Alex Bolt
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Lukas Neumayer vs Alex Bolt Statistics
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 7 3 | 6 4 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 70% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 30% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 50% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 71% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 28% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 80% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 50% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 83% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 66% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 25% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 33% | 0% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 70% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 80% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 83% | 66% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 40% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 50% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 0% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 66% |
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