Luka Pavlovic - Harry Wendelken: our prediction

Wendelken finishes 70% of his non-Grand Slam matches in 2 sets. Pavlovic has 40% of his matches in 2 sets, but as a favorite he often loses 1 set (70% of the time). However, Wendelken's trend of winning quickly in 2 sets is strong. A match in 2 sets is therefore more likely than a match in 3 sets.

Wendelken finishes 70% of his non-Grand Slam matches in 2 sets, and Pavlovic 40%. In Grand Slams, data is limited but Wendelken has 50% of his matches in 3 sets. The trend is towards quick matches for Wendelken, and Pavlovic struggles to win as a favorite. A match in 2 tight sets or 3 quick sets seems likely, with under 22.5 games.

Wendelken has an overall win rate of 60% in his last 10 matches, compared to 40% for Pavlovic. Furthermore, as a favorite in this odds range (1.51-1.8), Pavlovic has won 0 out of 3 matches, while Wendelken as an underdog has won 5 out of 7 (71.4%). The clay surface could level the playing field.