Luka Pavlovic - Harry Wendelken: our prediction
19/05/2026•19:35
#228
Luka Pavlovic
2:1
3•6
7•6
6•2
Finished
#192
Harry Wendelken
-
1
-
X
-
2
Luka Pavlovic vs Harry Wendelken Preview — Roland Garros, Qualification ATP
Roland Garros qualification match between Luka Pavlovic and Harry Wendelken. Pavlovic is the favorite with odds of 1.53, but Wendelken has a better recent win rate (60% vs 40%). The match is played on clay, a physically demanding surface.
Our Luka Pavlovic vs Harry Wendelken predictions
Under 2.5 sets in the match
Wendelken finishes 70% of his non-Grand Slam matches in 2 sets. Pavlovic has 40% of his matches in 2 sets, but as a favorite he often loses 1 set (70% of the time). However, Wendelken's trend of winning quickly in 2 sets is strong. A match in 2 sets is therefore more likely than a match in 3 sets.
1.51
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
Wendelken finishes 70% of his non-Grand Slam matches in 2 sets, and Pavlovic 40%. In Grand Slams, data is limited but Wendelken has 50% of his matches in 3 sets. The trend is towards quick matches for Wendelken, and Pavlovic struggles to win as a favorite. A match in 2 tight sets or 3 quick sets seems likely, with under 22.5 games.
1.76
Confidence
High
Victory for Harry Wendelken
Wendelken has an overall win rate of 60% in his last 10 matches, compared to 40% for Pavlovic. Furthermore, as a favorite in this odds range (1.51-1.8), Pavlovic has won 0 out of 3 matches, while Wendelken as an underdog has won 5 out of 7 (71.4%). The clay surface could level the playing field.
2.37
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Luka Pavlovic vs Harry Wendelken
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Luka Pavlovic vs Harry Wendelken Statistics
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 4 6 | 6 4 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 80% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 80% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 66% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 50% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 57% | 71% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 70% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 50% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 85% | 100% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 30% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 80% | 0% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 50% |
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