Laura Pigossi - Claire Liu: our prediction
19/05/2026•15:10
#40
Laura Pigossi
0:2
1•6
1•6
Finished
#65
Claire Liu
-
1
-
X
-
2
Laura Pigossi vs Claire Liu Preview — Roland Garros, Qualification WTA
Roland Garros qualification match between Laura Pigossi and Claire Liu. Pigossi is the underdog with odds at 3.42, while Liu is the favorite at 1.29. Statistics show Liu has a better overall win rate (50% vs 40%) and performs better when favored (70% wins). Pigossi tends to lose sets when favored (70%) but can win them as an underdog (60%).
Our Laura Pigossi vs Claire Liu predictions
Under 22.5 games in the match
Given that Liu is the favorite and tends to win in 2 sets, the total number of games should be under 22.5. A match in 2 tight sets (e.g., 6-4, 6-4) totals 20 games, well below 22.5. Even with a closer set (7-5, 6-3), you get 21 games. The probability of a 3-set match is low (16.67% for Liu), making under 22.5 very likely.
1.6
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 sets in the match
In a Grand Slam, the format is best of 3 sets, but statistics show that Liu, as a favorite, has a low rate of 3-set matches (16.67%). Pigossi, as an underdog, has 33.33% of 3-set matches in Grand Slams. However, Liu tends to win in 2 sets when favored (60% of her matches in 2 sets). The odds for under 2.5 sets are at 1.29, consistent with the probability of a quick Liu victory.
1.4
Confidence
High
Claire Liu Victory
Claire Liu is the favorite with odds at 1.29, indicating a high probability of victory. She has a better overall win rate (50% vs 40%) and performs particularly well when favored (70% wins). Pigossi, as an underdog, has a low win rate (30%). Liu also has a good record as a favorite with similar odds (83.33% wins between 1.21 and 1.5).
1.28
Confidence
High
Market signals on Laura Pigossi vs Claire Liu
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Laura Pigossi vs Claire Liu Statistics
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 4 6 | 5 5 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 33% | 20% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 16% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 33% | 20% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 70% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 50% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 83% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 25% | 66% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 40% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 75% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 80% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 80% | 80% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 75% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 50% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 50% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 75% | 33% |
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