Jesper de Jong - Liam Draxl: our prediction
20/05/2026•10:05
#109
Jesper de Jong
2:1
4•6
6•1
6•3
Finished
#109
Liam Draxl
-
1
-
X
-
2
Jesper de Jong vs Liam Draxl Preview — Roland Garros, Qualification ATP
Roland Garros qualification match between Jesper de Jong and Liam Draxl. De Jong is the favorite with odds of 1.25, but Draxl has a good record as a favorite (80% wins). Both players have an overall win rate of 50%. The match could be close.
Our Jesper de Jong vs Liam Draxl predictions
Victory of Jesper de Jong
Jesper de Jong is the favorite with odds of 1.25, indicating a high probability of victory. Although Liam Draxl has a good record as a favorite, he is the underdog here. De Jong has a 60% win rate when favored, which is solid. The clay surface could favor De Jong, who is more experienced on this surface.
1.25
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 sets in the match
Statistics show that De Jong has 70% of his Grand Slam matches going to 4 sets or more, and Draxl has 60% of his non-Grand Slam matches in 3 sets. As an underdog, Draxl has 50% of his matches in 3 sets. The trend is towards a long match, especially since De Jong often loses a set when favored (70% of the time).
2.64
Confidence
High
Over 22.5 games in the match
With a high probability of over 2.5 sets, the number of games should exceed 22.5. On average, a close 3-set match can reach 30 games or more. De Jong and Draxl tend to play long matches, especially in Grand Slams. This bet is consistent with the bet on sets.
2.25
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Jesper de Jong vs Liam Draxl
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Jesper de Jong vs Liam Draxl Statistics
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 5 5 | 5 5 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 20% | 30% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 70% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 100% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 28% | 100% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 71% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 80% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 60% | 75% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 75% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 10% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 33% | 25% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 50% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 25% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 33% | 25% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 80% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 66% | 50% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 60% | 75% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 100% |
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