Rugby

Tennis

Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Frances Tiafoe: our prediction

20/05/2026•20:15

#29

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

2:0

7•6

Finished

#16

Frances Tiafoe

Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Frances Tiafoe Preview — Hamburg European Open

First round match of the Hamburg European Open between Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Frances Tiafoe. Tiafoe is the favorite with odds of 1.66, while Carabelli is the underdog at 2.17. Tiafoe has a better win rate (70%) and performs better as a favorite. Carabelli is solid as an underdog, especially in winning at least one set.

Our Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Frances Tiafoe predictions

Victory of Frances Tiafoe

Tiafoe is the favorite with odds of 1.66 and a win rate of 70% in his last 10 matches. He also has an 80% win rate when favored, strengthening his position.

1.67

Confidence

High

Over 2.5 sets in the match

Carabelli has a 40% rate of matches in 3 sets outside Grand Slams, and Tiafoe 60%. As an underdog, Carabelli wins at least one set in 50% of cases, suggesting a close match.

2.25

Confidence

High

Over 22.5 games in the match

With a high probability of 3 sets (over 2.5 sets), the total number of games should exceed 22.5. Both players tend to play tight matches, especially Carabelli as an underdog.

1.9

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Frances Tiafoe

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Frances Tiafoe Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Camilo Ugo Carabelli	Frances Tiafoe
Win \| Lose	5 5	7 3
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	75%	60%
% of match in 4 sets or more	25%	40%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	70%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	30%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	75%	20%
% of match in 4 sets or more	25%	80%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	80%	80%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	75%	85%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	83%	66%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	75%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	75%	66%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	75%

Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite

	1	2
Global	60%	60%
rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	75%	57%
rated between 1.51 and 1.80	50%	66%

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