Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Frances Tiafoe: our prediction
20/05/2026•20:15
#29
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
2:0
7•6
7•6
Finished
#16
Frances Tiafoe
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1
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X
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2
Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Frances Tiafoe Preview — Hamburg European Open
First round match of the Hamburg European Open between Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Frances Tiafoe. Tiafoe is the favorite with odds of 1.66, while Carabelli is the underdog at 2.17. Tiafoe has a better win rate (70%) and performs better as a favorite. Carabelli is solid as an underdog, especially in winning at least one set.
Our Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Frances Tiafoe predictions
Victory of Frances Tiafoe
Tiafoe is the favorite with odds of 1.66 and a win rate of 70% in his last 10 matches. He also has an 80% win rate when favored, strengthening his position.
1.67
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 sets in the match
Carabelli has a 40% rate of matches in 3 sets outside Grand Slams, and Tiafoe 60%. As an underdog, Carabelli wins at least one set in 50% of cases, suggesting a close match.
2.25
Confidence
High
Over 22.5 games in the match
With a high probability of 3 sets (over 2.5 sets), the total number of games should exceed 22.5. Both players tend to play tight matches, especially Carabelli as an underdog.
1.9
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Frances Tiafoe
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Frances Tiafoe Statistics
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 5 5 | 7 3 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 75% | 60% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 25% | 40% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 70% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 30% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 75% | 20% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 25% | 80% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 80% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 85% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 83% | 66% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 66% | 75% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 66% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 66% | 75% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 60% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 57% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 50% | 66% |
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