Rugby

Tennis

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Alex de Minaur: our prediction

20/05/2026•17:30

#23

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

1:2

2•6

6•4

4•6

Finished

Alex de Minaur

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alex de Minaur Preview — Hamburg European Open

First round match of the Hamburg European Open between Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Alex de Minaur. De Minaur is the favorite on clay, but Davidovich Fokina has shown good recent form.

Our Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alex de Minaur predictions

Victory for Alex de Minaur

Alex de Minaur is the favorite with odds at 1.61. He has an excellent record on clay and has won 80% of his matches as a favorite. Davidovich Fokina, though talented, tends to lose sets even when favored (40% set losses). De Minaur seems more solid and should prevail.

1.62

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 sets in the match

Statistics show that Davidovich Fokina finishes 80% of his matches in 2 sets when not in a Grand Slam, and De Minaur 60%. On clay, matches in 2 sets are common. With De Minaur favored, a 2-set match is very likely.

1.55

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 games in the match

With a high probability of a 2-set match, the total number of games should be under 22.5. Both players tend to play tight but short matches. De Minaur, as the favorite, should control the match and limit the number of games.

1.77

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alex de Minaur

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alex de Minaur Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	Alex de Minaur
Win \| Lose	5 5	4 6
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	40%	70%
% of match in 4 sets or more	60%	30%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	30%	70%
% of match in 4 sets or more	70%	30%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	30%	50%
% of match in 4 sets or more	60%	50%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	80%	40%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	50%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	80%	42%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	0%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	20%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	33%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	16%	100%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	66%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	100%

Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite

	1	2
Global	40%	80%
rated between 1.00 and 1.20	50%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	40%	85%
rated between 1.51 and 1.80	0%	100%

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