Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Alex de Minaur: our prediction
20/05/2026•17:30
#23
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
1:2
2•6
6•4
4•6
Finished
#9
Alex de Minaur
-
1
-
X
-
2
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alex de Minaur Preview — Hamburg European Open
First round match of the Hamburg European Open between Alejandro Davidovich Fokina and Alex de Minaur. De Minaur is the favorite on clay, but Davidovich Fokina has shown good recent form.
Our Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alex de Minaur predictions
Victory for Alex de Minaur
Alex de Minaur is the favorite with odds at 1.61. He has an excellent record on clay and has won 80% of his matches as a favorite. Davidovich Fokina, though talented, tends to lose sets even when favored (40% set losses). De Minaur seems more solid and should prevail.
1.62
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 sets in the match
Statistics show that Davidovich Fokina finishes 80% of his matches in 2 sets when not in a Grand Slam, and De Minaur 60%. On clay, matches in 2 sets are common. With De Minaur favored, a 2-set match is very likely.
1.55
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
With a high probability of a 2-set match, the total number of games should be under 22.5. Both players tend to play tight but short matches. De Minaur, as the favorite, should control the match and limit the number of games.
1.77
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alex de Minaur
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alex de Minaur Statistics
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 5 5 | 4 6 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 40% | 70% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 60% | 30% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 30% | 70% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 70% | 30% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 30% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 60% | 50% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 40% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 50% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 80% | 42% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 20% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 33% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 16% | 100% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 66% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 66% | 100% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 80% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 50% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 40% | 85% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 100% |
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