August Holmgren - Daniel Jade: our prediction
20/05/2026•10:05
#66
August Holmgren
2:0
6•3
6•3
Finished
#1221
Daniel Jade
-
1
-
X
-
2
August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade Preview — Roland Garros, Qualification ATP
Roland Garros qualifying match between August Holmgren, the favorite, and Daniel Jade. Holmgren is in great form with a 70% win rate, while Jade has a low success rate. The match is played on clay.
Our August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade predictions
Victory for August Holmgren
August Holmgren is the heavy favorite with odds of 1.2. He has a 70% win rate and performs particularly well as a favorite (80% wins). Daniel Jade, on the other hand, has only a 33.3% win rate and has never won as an underdog. The difference in level is significant.
1.2
Confidence
Very high
Under 2.5 sets in the match
Although Holmgren sometimes loses sets, the match is played in a Grand Slam (qualifying for Roland Garros). In Grand Slams, Holmgren has played 3 matches and only 33.3% went to 3 sets. Moreover, Jade has no Grand Slam matches in the data, but as an underdog, he has lost 50% of his matches in 2 sets. Holmgren's expected dominance should limit the match to 2 sets.
1.39
Confidence
High
Over 22.5 games in the match
Although Holmgren is the favorite, he tends to lose sets as a favorite (80% of the time). Moreover, outside of Grand Slams, 40% of his matches go to 3 sets. Jade, as an underdog, has shown he can win a set (50% of his matches as an underdog). This suggests the match could be tight and exceed 22.5 games.
2.28
Confidence
High
Market signals on August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade Statistics
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 7 3 | 1 2 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 66% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 33% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 66% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 33% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 100% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 100% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 0% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 0% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 0% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 0% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 75% | 0% |
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