Federico Arnaboldi - Carlo Alberto Caniato: our prediction
19/05/2026•15:45
#226
Federico Arnaboldi
0:2
2•6
4•6
Finished
#376
Carlo Alberto Caniato
-
1
-
X
-
2
Federico Arnaboldi vs Carlo Alberto Caniato Preview — Cervia
Match of the Cervia tournament between Federico Arnaboldi and Carlo Alberto Caniato. Arnaboldi has a low win rate (20%) but often wins a set even as an underdog (50%). Caniato has a win rate of 30% and wins a set as an underdog in 70% of cases. Both players tend to play 3-set matches.
Our Federico Arnaboldi vs Carlo Alberto Caniato predictions
Over 22.5 games in the match
With a high probability of a 3-set match (over 2.5 sets) and players who tend to lose sets even when favored, the total number of games should exceed 22.5. A close 3-set match typically involves at least 24 games (e.g., 6-4, 4-6, 6-4).
1.94
Confidence
High
Victory of Player Carlo Alberto Caniato
Caniato has a better overall win rate (30% vs 20% for Arnaboldi). As an underdog, Caniato wins 30% of his matches, compared to 20% for Arnaboldi. Additionally, Caniato wins a set as an underdog in 70% of cases, showing his ability to compete even against higher-ranked opponents. Arnaboldi has a high loss rate (80%) and often loses a set even when favored (90%).
1.75
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 sets in the match
Both players have a high percentage of 3-set matches (50% for Arnaboldi, 40% for Caniato). Arnaboldi often loses a set even when favored (90%), suggesting close matches. Caniato wins a set as an underdog in 70% of cases. The trend is towards a competitive three-set match.
2.36
Confidence
High
Market signals on Federico Arnaboldi vs Carlo Alberto Caniato
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Federico Arnaboldi vs Carlo Alberto Caniato Statistics
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 2 8 | 3 7 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 20% | 50% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 33% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 14% | 100% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 20% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 25% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 70% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 28% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 50% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 90% | 75% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 66% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 85% | 100% |
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