Stan Wawrinka - Alex Michelsen: our prediction
20/05/2026•18:10
#1
Stan Wawrinka
0:2
6•7
6•7
Finished
#7
Alex Michelsen
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1
-
X
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2
Stan Wawrinka vs Alex Michelsen Preview — Geneva Open
Geneva Open match between Stan Wawrinka and Alex Michelsen. Wawrinka, Swiss veteran, is struggling with 30% recent wins, while Michelsen, young American, is favored with 40% wins and odds at 1.56.
Our Stan Wawrinka vs Alex Michelsen predictions
Victory of Alex Michelsen
Alex Michelsen is favored with odds at 1.56 and a 40% win rate over his last 10 matches, compared to 30% for Wawrinka. Michelsen also has a better win rate as favorite (80% vs 70%). Wawrinka is in poor form with 70% losses.
1.57
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 sets in the match
Outside of Grand Slams, Michelsen finishes 70% of his matches in 2 sets, and Wawrinka 60%. As a favorite, Michelsen has 40% of matches in 2 sets. The trend is towards a 2-set match, so under 2.5 sets.
1.56
Confidence
Medium
Under 22.5 games in the match
Michelsen has 70% of his matches (outside Grand Slams) finished in 2 sets, and Wawrinka 60%. As a favorite, Michelsen finishes 40% of his matches in 2 sets. The probability of a tight 3-set match is low, suggesting a total games under 22.5.
1.9
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Stan Wawrinka vs Alex Michelsen
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Stan Wawrinka vs Alex Michelsen Statistics
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 3 7 | 4 6 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 60% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 50% | 40% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 30% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 70% | 50% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 40% | 60% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 60% | 40% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 80% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 50% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 75% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 60% | 83% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 40% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 20% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 33% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 60% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 20% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 60% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 50% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 25% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 60% | 83% |
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