Alina Korneeva - Jazmin Ortenzi: our prediction
20/05/2026•13:35
#120
Alina Korneeva
2:1
4•6
6•4
6•2
Finished
#122
Jazmin Ortenzi
-
1
-
X
-
2
Alina Korneeva vs Jazmin Ortenzi Preview — Roland Garros, Qualification WTA
Roland Garros qualifying match between Alina Korneeva and Jazmin Ortenzi. Korneeva is the favorite with odds of 1.35, while Ortenzi is the underdog at 3.01. Korneeva has an 80% win rate when favorite, while Ortenzi has a 60% win rate as favorite. Both players have an overall win rate of 60% in their last 10 matches. Korneeva tends to win in 2 sets (90% of her matches), while Ortenzi is more likely to play matches in 3 sets (40%).
Our Alina Korneeva vs Jazmin Ortenzi predictions
Victory of Alina Korneeva
Alina Korneeva is the favorite with odds of 1.35. She has an 80% win rate when favorite and an overall win rate of 60% in her last 10 matches. Jazmin Ortenzi has a 60% win rate as favorite, but she is the underdog here. Korneeva also has an excellent record in 2 sets (90%), which reinforces her favorite status.
1.35
Confidence
High (65 %)
Under 2.5 sets in the match
Alina Korneeva has a 90% rate of matches in 2 sets (excluding Grand Slams), and even as favorite, she wins 80% of her matches in 2 sets. Jazmin Ortenzi has a 60% rate of matches in 2 sets (excluding Grand Slams). The probability that the match ends in 2 sets is therefore high, which corresponds to under 2.5 sets.
1.44
Confidence
High (65 %)
Under 22.5 games in the match
Given the high probability that the match ends in 2 sets, and that both players tend to play tight matches, the total number of games could be under 22.5. However, confidence is medium because matches in 3 sets could exceed this total.
1.53
Confidence
Medium (50 %)
Market signals on Alina Korneeva vs Jazmin Ortenzi
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Alina Korneeva vs Jazmin Ortenzi Statistics
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 6 4 | 6 4 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 60% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 71% | 66% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 50% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 33% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 100% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 70% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 66% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 100% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 60% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 42% | 33% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 100% |
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