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Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Oceane Dodin: our prediction

20/05/2026•15:25

#29

Aliaksandra Sasnovich

2:0

6•1

6•0

Finished

#53

Oceane Dodin

Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Oceane Dodin Preview — Roland Garros, Qualification WTA

Roland Garros qualification match between Aliaksandra Sasnovich and Oceane Dodin. Sasnovich is the heavy favorite with odds of 1.06, while Dodin is the outsider at 7.56. Both players have a win rate of 50% and 30% respectively over their last 10 matches. Sasnovich has an excellent record in 2 sets (90%) when favored, while Dodin tends to lose sets when favored (50%).

Our Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Oceane Dodin predictions

Sasnovich to win

Sasnovich is the heavy favorite with odds of 1.06. She has a 60% win rate when favored (odds between 1.0 and 1.2) and has won 100% of her matches in this odds range. Dodin, as an outsider, only has a 20% win rate against favorites of this caliber. Sasnovich is more solid and should prevail.

1.07

Confidence

Very high

Under 22.5 games

With a high probability of the match ending in 2 sets (90% for Sasnovich as favorite), the total number of games should be under 22.5. A match in 2 tight sets (e.g., 6-4, 6-4) gives 20 games, well below 22.5. Even a 7-6, 6-4 gives 23 games, but the trend is towards tight but not too long scores. The odds of 1.06 reflect this high probability.

1.06

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 sets

Sasnovich has a 90% rate of matches in 2 sets when favored (excluding Grand Slams). Dodin, for her part, has a 70% rate of matches in 2 sets when favored. In this qualification match, the format is best of 2 sets. The probability of the match ending in 2 sets is high, especially with the expected dominance of Sasnovich.

1.22

Confidence

High

Market signals on Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Oceane Dodin

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Oceane Dodin Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Aliaksandra Sasnovich	Oceane Dodin
Win \| Lose	5 5	3 7
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	20%	20%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	30%	100%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	20%	10%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	60%	50%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	33%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	50%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	50%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	30%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	20%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	40%	33%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	25%	50%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	40%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	50%

Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite

	1	2
Global	40%	50%
rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	66%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	50%
rated between 1.51 and 1.80	50%	50%

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