Aliaksandra Sasnovich - Oceane Dodin: our prediction
20/05/2026•15:25
#29
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
2:0
6•1
6•0
Finished
#53
Oceane Dodin
-
1
-
X
-
2
Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Oceane Dodin Preview — Roland Garros, Qualification WTA
Roland Garros qualification match between Aliaksandra Sasnovich and Oceane Dodin. Sasnovich is the heavy favorite with odds of 1.06, while Dodin is the outsider at 7.56. Both players have a win rate of 50% and 30% respectively over their last 10 matches. Sasnovich has an excellent record in 2 sets (90%) when favored, while Dodin tends to lose sets when favored (50%).
Our Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Oceane Dodin predictions
Sasnovich to win
Sasnovich is the heavy favorite with odds of 1.06. She has a 60% win rate when favored (odds between 1.0 and 1.2) and has won 100% of her matches in this odds range. Dodin, as an outsider, only has a 20% win rate against favorites of this caliber. Sasnovich is more solid and should prevail.
1.07
Confidence
Very high
Under 22.5 games
With a high probability of the match ending in 2 sets (90% for Sasnovich as favorite), the total number of games should be under 22.5. A match in 2 tight sets (e.g., 6-4, 6-4) gives 20 games, well below 22.5. Even a 7-6, 6-4 gives 23 games, but the trend is towards tight but not too long scores. The odds of 1.06 reflect this high probability.
1.06
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 sets
Sasnovich has a 90% rate of matches in 2 sets when favored (excluding Grand Slams). Dodin, for her part, has a 70% rate of matches in 2 sets when favored. In this qualification match, the format is best of 2 sets. The probability of the match ending in 2 sets is high, especially with the expected dominance of Sasnovich.
1.22
Confidence
High
Market signals on Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Oceane Dodin
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Oceane Dodin Statistics
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 5 5 | 3 7 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 20% | 20% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 30% | 100% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 20% | 10% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 50% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 33% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 50% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 20% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 40% | 33% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 25% | 50% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 40% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 50% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 50% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 66% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 50% | 50% |
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