Taylor Fritz - Alexei Popyrin: our prediction
20/05/2026•12:50
#5
Taylor Fritz
0:2
4•6
4•6
Finished
#22
Alexei Popyrin
-
1
-
X
-
2
Taylor Fritz vs Alexei Popyrin Preview — Geneva Open
Taylor Fritz faces Alexei Popyrin at the Geneva Open. Fritz is the favorite with odds of 1.78, but Popyrin has shown good recent form. The match promises to be tight, with a tendency to be decided in three sets.
Our Taylor Fritz vs Alexei Popyrin predictions
Taylor Fritz to win
Taylor Fritz is the favorite with a 60% win rate in his last 10 matches. He is a seed and plays on a surface that suits him. Popyrin has a 50% win rate and performs less well as a favorite.
1.78
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 sets in the match
Both players tend to play matches in three sets. Fritz has 50% of his matches in 3 sets (excluding Grand Slams) and Popyrin 50%. Moreover, as an outsider, Popyrin has 70% of his matches in 2 sets, suggesting he can push Fritz to a third set.
2.27
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
Although the match could go to three sets, statistics show that both players tend to play tight matches. Fritz has 50% of his matches in 2 sets (excluding Grand Slams) and Popyrin 50%. A three-set match can end with fewer than 22.5 games if the sets are tight (e.g. 6-4, 4-6, 6-3 = 29 games, but scores like 6-3, 6-4 = 19 games are also possible). The attractive odds justify this moderate bet.
2.25
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Taylor Fritz vs Alexei Popyrin
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Taylor Fritz vs Alexei Popyrin Statistics
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 6 4 | 5 5 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 40% | 60% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 60% | 40% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 40% | 60% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 50% | 40% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 20% | 30% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 80% | 70% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 50% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 60% | 25% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 66% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 20% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 40% | 33% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 50% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 50% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 40% | 33% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 100% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 80% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 60% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 100% |
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