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Claire Liu - Katarzyna Kawa: our prediction

20/05/2026•17:05

#65

Claire Liu

2:0

6•3

6•0

Finished

#75

Katarzyna Kawa

Claire Liu vs Katarzyna Kawa Preview — Roland Garros, Qualification WTA

Roland Garros qualifying match between Claire Liu and Katarzyna Kawa. Liu is the favorite with odds of 1.68, but Kawa has a better recent win percentage (60% vs 50%). Kawa is very solid as a favorite (90% wins) and often finishes matches in 2 sets (80%). Liu tends to play tighter matches, with 60% of her non-Slam matches going to 3 sets.

Our Claire Liu vs Katarzyna Kawa predictions

Victory for Katarzyna Kawa

Kawa has a better recent win percentage (60% vs 50%) and performs very well as a favorite (90% wins). Liu, despite her favorite status, has a win rate of only 50% and has lost 50% of her matches as a favorite. The odds of 2.07 for Kawa offer good value.

2.07

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 sets

Kawa finishes 80% of her matches in 2 sets (outside Grand Slams). Liu, although more prone to 3 sets, has a 60% rate of 2-set matches when she is the favorite. Kawa's tendency to finish matches quickly makes a 2-set result likely.

1.55

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 games

Given the high probability of a 2-set match (especially if Kawa wins), the total number of games should be under 22.5. A typical 2-set match often falls between 18 and 22 games.

1.7

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Claire Liu vs Katarzyna Kawa

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Claire Liu vs Katarzyna Kawa Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Claire Liu	Katarzyna Kawa
Win \| Lose	5 5	6 4
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	20%	33%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	16%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	20%	33%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	70%	90%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	83%	100%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	66%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	60%	33%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	75%	66%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	80%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	80%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	75%	66%

Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite

	1	2
Global	50%	20%
rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	20%
rated between 1.51 and 1.80	33%	33%

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