Claire Liu - Katarzyna Kawa: our prediction
20/05/2026•17:05
#65
Claire Liu
2:0
6•3
6•0
Finished
#75
Katarzyna Kawa
-
1
-
X
-
2
Claire Liu vs Katarzyna Kawa Preview — Roland Garros, Qualification WTA
Roland Garros qualifying match between Claire Liu and Katarzyna Kawa. Liu is the favorite with odds of 1.68, but Kawa has a better recent win percentage (60% vs 50%). Kawa is very solid as a favorite (90% wins) and often finishes matches in 2 sets (80%). Liu tends to play tighter matches, with 60% of her non-Slam matches going to 3 sets.
Our Claire Liu vs Katarzyna Kawa predictions
Victory for Katarzyna Kawa
Kawa has a better recent win percentage (60% vs 50%) and performs very well as a favorite (90% wins). Liu, despite her favorite status, has a win rate of only 50% and has lost 50% of her matches as a favorite. The odds of 2.07 for Kawa offer good value.
2.07
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 sets
Kawa finishes 80% of her matches in 2 sets (outside Grand Slams). Liu, although more prone to 3 sets, has a 60% rate of 2-set matches when she is the favorite. Kawa's tendency to finish matches quickly makes a 2-set result likely.
1.55
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games
Given the high probability of a 2-set match (especially if Kawa wins), the total number of games should be under 22.5. A typical 2-set match often falls between 18 and 22 games.
1.7
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Claire Liu vs Katarzyna Kawa
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Claire Liu vs Katarzyna Kawa Statistics
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 5 5 | 6 4 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 20% | 33% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 16% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 20% | 33% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 90% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 83% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 66% | 66% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 60% | 33% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 75% | 66% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 80% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 75% | 66% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 20% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 20% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 33% | 33% |
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