Maria Lourdes Carle - Maria Timofeeva: our prediction
20/05/2026•17:30
#126
Maria Lourdes Carle
2:1
2•6
6•0
6•4
Finished
#105
Maria Timofeeva
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1
-
X
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2
Maria Lourdes Carle vs Maria Timofeeva Preview — Roland Garros, Qualification WTA
Maria Lourdes Carle faces Maria Timofeeva in the first round of Roland Garros qualifying. Timofeeva is the heavy favorite with odds at 1.29, while Carle is the outsider at 3.41. Timofeeva has a 70% win rate in her last 10 matches, compared to 40% for Carle. Both players tend to finish matches in 2 sets, especially Timofeeva (90% outside of Grand Slams).
Our Maria Lourdes Carle vs Maria Timofeeva predictions
Victory for Maria Timofeeva
Maria Timofeeva is the logical favorite with very low odds at 1.29. She has a 70% win rate in her last 10 matches, compared to 40% for Carle. Moreover, when favored with odds between 1.0 and 1.2, she wins 100% of her matches (3/3). Carle, as an outsider with odds between 1.21 and 1.5, wins only 16.67% of the time.
1.29
Confidence
Very high
Under 2.5 sets in the match
Timofeeva finishes 90% of her matches in 2 sets outside of Grand Slams, and Carle 70%. The probability of this match going beyond 2 sets is therefore low. Timofeeva being the favorite, she should win in straight 2 sets.
1.43
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games in the match
Both players have a strong tendency to finish matches in 2 sets, especially Timofeeva (90% outside of Grand Slams). A match in straight 2 sets usually implies fewer than 22.5 games. Additionally, Timofeeva is a heavy favorite and should dominate, limiting the number of games.
1.58
Confidence
High
Market signals on Maria Lourdes Carle vs Maria Timofeeva
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Maria Lourdes Carle vs Maria Timofeeva Statistics
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 4 6 | 7 3 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 20% | 14% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 20% | 33% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 70% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 50% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 33% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 66% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 16% | 33% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 50% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 33% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 66% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 40% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 50% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 66% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 66% |
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