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Tennis

Marco Cecchinato - Andrea Pellegrino: our prediction

21/05/2026

#20

Marco Cecchinato

11:00

Today

#116

Andrea Pellegrino

Marco Cecchinato vs Andrea Pellegrino Preview — Roland Garros, Qualification ATP

Roland Garros qualification match between Marco Cecchinato and Andrea Pellegrino. Cecchinato is the underdog with odds of 2.74, while Pellegrino is the favorite at 1.40. Pellegrino has a better recent win rate (70% vs 60%) and is particularly strong as a favorite (80% wins). Cecchinato has shown some resilience as an underdog, winning at least one set in 50% of his matches.

Our Marco Cecchinato vs Andrea Pellegrino predictions

Andrea Pellegrino Victory

Pellegrino is the logical favorite with odds of 1.40. He has a 70% win rate in his last 10 matches, compared to 60% for Cecchinato. As a favorite, Pellegrino wins 80% of his matches, a solid indicator. Cecchinato, as an underdog, wins only 20% of his matches. Recent form and favorite statistics clearly favor Pellegrino.

1.4

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 sets in the match

This bet is consistent with the 'under 22.5 games' bet. Pellegrino, as a favorite, wins in 2 sets in 50% of his matches (excluding Grand Slams). Cecchinato, as an underdog, loses in 2 sets in 70% of his matches (excluding Grand Slams). The probability of the match ending in 2 sets is therefore high, corresponding to under 2.5 sets.

1.54

Confidence

Medium

Under 22.5 games in the match

Pellegrino, as a favorite, tends to win in 2 sets in 50% of his matches (excluding Grand Slams). Cecchinato, as an underdog, often loses in 2 sets (70% of his matches in 2 sets excluding Grand Slams). A match dominated by Pellegrino could end quickly, with under 22.5 games. However, Cecchinato can sometimes snatch a set, increasing the game count.

1.74

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Marco Cecchinato vs Andrea Pellegrino

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Marco Cecchinato vs Andrea Pellegrino Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Marco Cecchinato	Andrea Pellegrino
Win \| Lose	6 4	7 3
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	50%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	20%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	80%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	50%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	50%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	70%	80%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	80%	66%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	33%	100%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	20%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	25%	66%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	60%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	70%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	100%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	66%	60%

Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite

	1	2
Global	40%	60%
rated between 1.00 and 1.20	0%	0%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	40%	66%
rated between 1.51 and 1.80	66%	60%

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