Marco Cecchinato - Andrea Pellegrino: our prediction
21/05/2026
#20
Marco Cecchinato
11:00
Today
#116
Andrea Pellegrino
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Marco Cecchinato vs Andrea Pellegrino Preview — Roland Garros, Qualification ATP
Roland Garros qualification match between Marco Cecchinato and Andrea Pellegrino. Cecchinato is the underdog with odds of 2.74, while Pellegrino is the favorite at 1.40. Pellegrino has a better recent win rate (70% vs 60%) and is particularly strong as a favorite (80% wins). Cecchinato has shown some resilience as an underdog, winning at least one set in 50% of his matches.
Our Marco Cecchinato vs Andrea Pellegrino predictions
Andrea Pellegrino Victory
Pellegrino is the logical favorite with odds of 1.40. He has a 70% win rate in his last 10 matches, compared to 60% for Cecchinato. As a favorite, Pellegrino wins 80% of his matches, a solid indicator. Cecchinato, as an underdog, wins only 20% of his matches. Recent form and favorite statistics clearly favor Pellegrino.
1.4
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 sets in the match
This bet is consistent with the 'under 22.5 games' bet. Pellegrino, as a favorite, wins in 2 sets in 50% of his matches (excluding Grand Slams). Cecchinato, as an underdog, loses in 2 sets in 70% of his matches (excluding Grand Slams). The probability of the match ending in 2 sets is therefore high, corresponding to under 2.5 sets.
1.54
Confidence
Medium
Under 22.5 games in the match
Pellegrino, as a favorite, tends to win in 2 sets in 50% of his matches (excluding Grand Slams). Cecchinato, as an underdog, often loses in 2 sets (70% of his matches in 2 sets excluding Grand Slams). A match dominated by Pellegrino could end quickly, with under 22.5 games. However, Cecchinato can sometimes snatch a set, increasing the game count.
1.74
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Marco Cecchinato vs Andrea Pellegrino
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Marco Cecchinato vs Andrea Pellegrino Statistics
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 6 4 | 7 3 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 50% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 20% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 80% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 50% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 80% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 80% | 66% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 33% | 100% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 20% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 25% | 66% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 50% | 60% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 70% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 100% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 66% | 60% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 40% | 60% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 40% | 66% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 66% | 60% |
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