Jesper de Jong - Michael Zheng: our prediction
21/05/2026
#109
Jesper de Jong
11:00
Today
#146
Michael Zheng
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Jesper de Jong vs Michael Zheng Preview — Roland Garros, Qualification ATP
First round of Roland Garros qualifying between Jesper de Jong (favorite) and Michael Zheng. De Jong has a 50% win rate in his last 10 matches, while Zheng is at 60%. Both players tend to play tight matches, with a high percentage of sets lost as favorite for De Jong (70%).
Our Jesper de Jong vs Michael Zheng predictions
Over 22.5 games in the match
Given the high probability of a 3-set match (over 2.5 sets), the total number of games should exceed 22.5. Both players tend to lose sets as favorites (De Jong 70%, Zheng 60%), lengthening matches. Additionally, Grand Slam matches are often longer.
1.92
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 sets in the match
Both players have a strong tendency to play 3-set matches. De Jong has played 60% of his matches (outside Grand Slams) in 3 sets, and Zheng 40%. In Grand Slams, De Jong has played 70% of his matches in 4 sets or more. Zheng has played 100% of his Grand Slam matches in 4 sets or more. This suggests a tight match that could go to a 3rd set.
2.28
Confidence
High
Victory of Jesper de Jong
Jesper de Jong is the favorite with odds of 1.43. Although his overall win rate is 50%, he has a 60% win rate when favored, and his opponent has only a 30% win rate as an underdog. Additionally, Zheng has lost 60% of his matches as a favorite, indicating some fragility. The clay surface is favorable to De Jong.
1.43
Confidence
High
Market signals on Jesper de Jong vs Michael Zheng
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Jesper de Jong vs Michael Zheng Statistics
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 5 5 | 6 4 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 20% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 70% | 100% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 100% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 28% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 71% | 100% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 60% | 70% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 80% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 33% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 10% | 30% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 33% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 33% | 50% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 50% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 33% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 33% | 83% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 60% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 50% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 80% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 66% |
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