Toby Samuel - Gonzalo Bueno: our prediction
21/05/2026
#88
Toby Samuel
12:30
Today
#185
Gonzalo Bueno
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Toby Samuel vs Gonzalo Bueno Preview — Roland Garros, Qualification ATP
Roland Garros qualifying match between Toby Samuel and Gonzalo Bueno. Bueno is the favorite with odds of 1.69 and an 80% win rate in his last 10 matches, while Samuel has a 60% win rate. Bueno tends to win in 2 sets (70% of his matches), while Samuel often goes to 3 sets (60%).
Our Toby Samuel vs Gonzalo Bueno predictions
Under 2.5 sets in the match
Bueno wins 70% of his matches in 2 sets (excluding Grand Slams). Samuel, although going to 3 sets in 60% of his matches, is the outsider here and could be beaten in 2 sets by Bueno. Bueno's tendency to finish matches quickly and his favorite status make a 2-set match likely.
1.58
Confidence
High (65 %)
Under 22.5 games in the match
Bueno wins 70% of his matches in 2 sets (excluding Grand Slams), suggesting short matches. Samuel, although often going to 3 sets (60%), has a lower win rate and could be dominated by Bueno. A 2-set match with tight scores (e.g., 6-4, 6-4) would total around 20 games, well under 22.5.
1.75
Confidence
High (65 %)
Victory of Gonzalo Bueno
Gonzalo Bueno is the favorite with odds of 1.69 and an 80% win rate in his last 10 matches, compared to 60% for Samuel. Bueno also has an 80% win rate when favorite, strengthening his position. Samuel, while competitive, has a lower win rate and tends to lose sets when favorite (50% of his matches as favorite).
2.08
Confidence
High (65 %)
Market signals on Toby Samuel vs Gonzalo Bueno
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Toby Samuel vs Gonzalo Bueno Statistics
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 6 4 | 8 2 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 0% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 80% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 75% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 75% | 80% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 25% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 42% | 50% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 25% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 85% | 75% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 50% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 25% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 40% |
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