Casper Ruud - Mariano Navone: our prediction
22/05/2026•14:10
#4
Casper Ruud
0:2
5•7
2•6
Finished
#32
Mariano Navone
-
1
-
X
-
2
Casper Ruud vs Mariano Navone Preview — Geneva Open
Casper Ruud, favorite and clay court specialist, faces Mariano Navone at the Geneva Open. Ruud shows solid form with 80% recent wins, while Navone is more inconsistent. Ruud dominates as a favorite (90% wins) and should win in two sets.
Our Casper Ruud vs Mariano Navone predictions
Victory for Casper Ruud
Casper Ruud is the logical favorite with odds of 1.27. He has won 80% of his recent matches and 90% as a favorite. Navone, though solid as an underdog (40% wins), has less chance against a player of Ruud's caliber on clay.
1.27
Confidence
Very high
Under 2.5 sets
Statistically, Ruud finishes 90% of his non-Grand Slam matches in 2 sets. Navone, when an underdog, often loses in 2 sets (50% of matches). The combination favors a match in maximum 2 sets, so under 2.5 sets.
1.47
Confidence
High
Under 22.5 games
Ruud often wins in two sets (90% of his non-Grand Slam matches end in 2 sets). Navone also tends to lose quickly against favorites. With Ruud's expected dominance, the match should be short, under 22.5 games.
1.62
Confidence
High
Market signals on Casper Ruud vs Mariano Navone
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Casper Ruud vs Mariano Navone Statistics
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 8 2 | 6 4 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 40% | 30% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 60% | 70% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 40% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 60% | 50% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 60% | 22% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 40% | 77% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 90% | 90% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 87% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 75% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 20% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 33% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 80% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 66% | 80% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 100% | 66% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 50% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 37% | 50% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 50% |
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