Mariano Navone - Learner Tien: our prediction
23/05/2026
#32
Mariano Navone
15:00
Today
#20
Learner Tien
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1
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X
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2
Mariano Navone vs Learner Tien Preview — Geneva Open
First round match of the 2026 Geneva Open between Mariano Navone and Learner Tien. Navone is the favorite with odds of 1.65, Tien at 2.21. Navone has a 70% win rate in his last 10 matches, Tien 60%.
Our Mariano Navone vs Learner Tien predictions
Victory of Mariano Navone
Navone is the favorite with odds of 1.65 and has a 70% win rate in his last 10 matches (7 wins, 3 losses). As a favorite, he wins 90% of his matches (9/10). Tien, while solid (60% wins), has a lower win rate as a favorite (70%) and tends to lose sets (80% of his matches as favorite). Navone's recent form and favorite status favor him.
1.65
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 sets in the match
Both players have a tendency to play 3-set matches outside of Grand Slams. Navone has 30% of his matches in 3 sets, Tien 50%. As a favorite, Tien loses a set in 80% of his matches, suggesting a tight match. Additionally, Navone as an underdog has an 80% chance of winning at least one set. These factors indicate a high probability of seeing all 3 sets.
2.23
Confidence
High
Over 22.5 games in the match
Given the high probability of a 3-set match (over 2.5 sets), the total number of games should exceed 22.5. A typical 3-set match often has more than 22.5 games, especially if the sets are tight. Tien's tendency to lose sets and Navone's ability to win them as an underdog reinforce this assumption.
1.88
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Mariano Navone vs Learner Tien
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Mariano Navone vs Learner Tien Statistics
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 7 3 | 6 4 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 30% | 60% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 70% | 40% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 50% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 50% | 50% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 22% | 50% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 77% | 50% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 90% | 80% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 75% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 75% | 75% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 60% | 33% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 33% | 50% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 60% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 80% | 66% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 66% | 50% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 80% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 50% | 100% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 50% | 75% |
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