Ignacio Buse - Tommy Paul: our prediction
23/05/2026
#57
Ignacio Buse
14:30
Today
#12
Tommy Paul
-
1
-
X
-
2
Ignacio Buse vs Tommy Paul Preview — Hamburg European Open
Ignacio Buse faces Tommy Paul in the first round of the Hamburg European Open. Buse, the underdog, has a good record as an outsider (50% wins) and often wins at least one set (70%). Paul, the favorite, is solid but can drop a set (60% of his wins as favorite come in 3 sets).
Our Ignacio Buse vs Tommy Paul predictions
Over 22.5 games in the match
With a high probability of a 3-set match (see previous analysis), the total number of games should exceed 22.5. A tight 3-set match easily reaches this threshold.
1.81
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 sets in the match
Buse often wins at least one set as an underdog (70%) and Paul frequently drops a set as a favorite (60%). Additionally, 50% of Paul's non-Grand Slam matches go to 3 sets, and 20% for Buse. The probability of a 3-set match is therefore high.
2.18
Confidence
High
Tommy Paul to win
Tommy Paul is the logical favorite with odds of 1.61. He has an overall win rate of 80% and 80% when favored. Buse, while solid as an underdog, has a win rate of only 50% in that role.
1.61
Confidence
High
Market signals on Ignacio Buse vs Tommy Paul
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Ignacio Buse vs Tommy Paul Statistics
Win
 | | |
|---|---|---|
Win | Lose | 8 2 | 8 2 |
Win Lose | ||
% of match in X sets
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 100% | 70% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 30% |
% of match in X sets when favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 0% | 60% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 40% |
% of match in X sets when outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
% of match in 3 sets | 100% | 40% |
% of match in 4 sets or more | 0% | 60% |
Win by being a favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 80% | 80% |
rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 75% | 100% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 87% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 66% | 0% |
Win by being an outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 50% | 40% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 62% | 40% |
Has won at least 1 set by being outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 70% | 70% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 100% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 100% | 50% |
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 62% | 60% |
Has lost at least 1 set by being favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Global | 30% | 60% |
rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 25% | 0% |
rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 33% | 62% |
rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 33% | 100% |
Betting actions
Manage your bets and alerts
TODAY'S OFFERS
Exclusive new customer offers