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Daniel Merida Aguilar - Andrea Pellegrino: our prediction

06/06/2026

#66

Daniel Merida Aguilar

20:30

Today

#107

Andrea Pellegrino

Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrea Pellegrino Preview — Perugia

Daniel Merida Aguilar faces Andrea Pellegrino in Perugia. Merida Aguilar is the favorite with odds of 1.63, but Pellegrino has an 80% win rate in his last 10 matches. The match is played on an unspecified surface, but statistics show that both players tend to play close matches.

Our Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrea Pellegrino predictions

Victory for Andrea Pellegrino

Pellegrino has an 80% win rate in his last 10 matches, compared to 60% for Merida Aguilar. Additionally, Pellegrino has an 80% win rate when favored, while Merida Aguilar only has 40% wins as an underdog. The odds of 2.15 offer good value.

2.16

Confidence

High

Over 22.5 games in the match

With a high probability of 3 sets (50% for each player), the total number of games should exceed 22.5. Additionally, Pellegrino tends to lose sets when favored (60%), which could lengthen the match.

1.9

Confidence

Medium

Over 2.5 sets in the match

Both players have a 50% rate of 3-set matches outside Grand Slams. Merida Aguilar has 40% of matches in 3 sets, while Pellegrino has 50%. The trend is towards a close match, making a third set likely.

2.25

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrea Pellegrino

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrea Pellegrino Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Daniel Merida Aguilar	Andrea Pellegrino
Win \| Lose	6 4	8 2
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	100%	100%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	0%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	100%	100%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	0%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	70%	80%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	66%	83%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	60%	100%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	40%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	37%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	50%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	70%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	50%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	62%	75%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	50%