Rugby

Tennis

Gianmarco Ferrari - Roberto Carballes Baena: our prediction

10/06/2026•10:05

#296

Gianmarco Ferrari

0:2

4•6

Finished

#51

Roberto Carballes Baena

Gianmarco Ferrari vs Roberto Carballes Baena Preview — Cattolica

Gianmarco Ferrari faces Roberto Carballes Baena in Cattolica. Ferrari is the underdog with odds of 4.7, while Carballes Baena is the favorite at 1.15. Ferrari has a 50% win rate in his last 10 matches, but only 30% as an underdog. Carballes Baena has a 40% overall win rate, but 70% when favored. The match is likely to be decided in 2 or 3 sets.

Our Gianmarco Ferrari vs Roberto Carballes Baena predictions

Victory of Roberto Carballes Baena

Carballes Baena is the favorite with odds of 1.15. He has a 70% win rate when favored, while Ferrari has only 30% wins as an underdog. Carballes Baena's recent form and favorite status make this prediction very solid.

1.15

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 sets in the match

Ferrari has 70% of his matches in 2 sets (non-Grand Slam), and Carballes Baena 40%. As a favorite, Carballes Baena has 50% of his matches in 2 sets. The match is best of 3 sets, and the trend favors a 2-set match, so under 2.5 sets.

1.36

Confidence

High

Under 22.5 games in the match

With a high probability of a 2-set match (under 2.5 sets), the total number of games should be under 22.5. A typical 2-set match has between 12 and 20 games. Carballes Baena being favorite and dominant, the match is likely to be short.

1.5

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Gianmarco Ferrari vs Roberto Carballes Baena

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Gianmarco Ferrari vs Roberto Carballes Baena Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Gianmarco Ferrari	Roberto Carballes Baena
Win \| Lose	5 5	4 6
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	60%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	40%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	37%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	62%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	0%	60%
% of match in 4 sets or more	0%	40%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	66%	70%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	50%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	0%	85%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	0%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	30%	30%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	25%	33%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	33%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	50%	66%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	66%