Rugby

Tennis

Benjamin Bonzi - Alex de Minaur: our prediction

12/06/2026•15:05

#56

Benjamin Bonzi

0:2

2•6

4•6

Finished

Alex de Minaur

Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Preview — Libema Open

Benjamin Bonzi faces Alex de Minaur in the first round of the 2026 Libema Open on grass. De Minaur is the heavy favorite with odds of 1.20, while Bonzi is the underdog at 4.38. Both players have similar win statistics over their last 10 matches (60% for Bonzi, 50% for De Minaur).

Our Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur predictions

Victory for Alex de Minaur

Alex de Minaur is the heavy favorite with odds of 1.20, reflecting his status as a higher-ranked and more experienced player on grass. Although Bonzi has a 60% win rate in his last 10 matches, De Minaur is accustomed to winning as a favorite (50% wins as favorite). The grass surface favors De Minaur's fast and aggressive play.

1.21

Confidence

High

Under 2.5 sets in the match

Statistics show that Bonzi has 50% of his matches in 2 sets outside of Grand Slams, and De Minaur also 50%. As a favorite, De Minaur wins 60% of his matches in 2 sets. The probability that the match ends in 2 sets is therefore high, corresponding to under 2.5 sets.

1.44

Confidence

Medium

Under 22.5 games in the match

Both players have a 50% rate of matches in 2 sets outside of Grand Slams. De Minaur, as a favorite, wins 60% of his matches in 2 sets. With De Minaur's expected dominance, the match could end quickly in two straight sets, limiting the total number of games.

1.72

Confidence

Medium

Market signals on Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur

PRO

Predictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market

Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Statistics

History

Surface

Win

	Benjamin Bonzi	Alex de Minaur
Win \| Lose	6 4	5 5
Win Lose

% of match in X sets

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	20%	60%
% of match in 4 sets or more	80%	40%

% of match in X sets when favorite

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	40%	60%
% of match in 4 sets or more	60%	40%

% of match in X sets when outsider

	1	2

% of match in 3 sets	20%	50%
% of match in 4 sets or more	80%	50%

Win by being a favorite

	1	2
Global	80%	50%
rated between 1.0 and 1.2	100%	100%
rated between 1.21 and 1.5	75%	33%
rated between 1.51 and 1.8	100%	50%

Win by being an outsider

	1	2
Global	30%	40%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	0%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	33%	33%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	100%

Has won at least 1 set by being outsider

	1	2
Global	50%	60%
Against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2	50%	0%
Against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5	66%	66%
Against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8	50%	100%