Barracas Central vs Sarmiento — Prediction
Match Preview
Barracas Central hosts Sarmiento in a Liga Profesional Apertura match. Barracas Central is a slight favorite with odds at 2.40. In their last 10 matches, they have a balanced record (4W, 4D, 2L) and score regularly (9/10 matches with Over 0.5 goals). Sarmiento, away from home, has weaker form (only 1 win in 10 away matches) and a less prolific attack (only 5/10 matches with Over 1.5 goals). Statistics suggest a tight match with few goals.
Our predictions
Under 2.5 goals in the match
Barracas Central has seen 6 of its last 10 matches end with under 2.5 goals (60%). Sarmiento has an even higher rate of 70% (7/10). Both teams have unprolific attacks (Barracas Central: 5/10 matches with Over 1.5 goals per team; Sarmiento: only 2/10). Sarmiento's defense is solid away from home (4 clean sheets in 10 matches). No information on major absences was found. The most likely scenario is a low-scoring match.
1.36
Confidence
High
Sarmiento scores under 1.5 goals
Sarmiento has scored under 1.5 goals in 8 of its last 10 matches (80%). Their attack is inefficient, with only 2 matches where they scored more than 1 goal. Away from home, their offensive output is even more limited (only 1 win). Barracas Central, at home, has a defense capable of keeping a clean sheet (2 clean sheets in 10 matches). No major absences reported. It is very likely that Sarmiento will not score more than one goal.
1.25
Confidence
High
Barracas Central Win
Barracas Central is favored at home (odds 2.40). They have a decent home record (4 wins in last 10 matches across all competitions) and a defense that concedes little (2 clean sheets in 10 matches). Sarmiento is very weak away (only 1 win in 10 matches) and struggles to score (only 6 out of 10 matches with at least one goal). The lack of information on key injuries suggests full squads. The home advantage and Barracas Central's more solid form could make the difference in a tight match.
2.35
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 4 4 2 | 4 1 5 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 67% | 100% |
Win by being a favorite | 67% | 100% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 71% | 29% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 29% | 14% |
Win by being an outsider | 29% | 14% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 60% 40% | 30% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 30% 70% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 70% 30% | 70% 30% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Leading at half-time | 40% 60% | 40% 60% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 10% | 30% |
2nd half | 40% | 30% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 80% 20% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 70% 30% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 50% 50% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Facundo Bruera | 25% (2/8) | 50% (5/10) | Junior Marabel |
| Rodrigo Insua | 22% (2/9) | 20% (2/10) | Diego Churin |
| Ivan Tapia | 11% (1/9) | 10% (1/10) | Cristian Zabala |
| Jhonatan Candia | 11% (1/9) | ||
| Fernando Tobio | 11% (1/9) | ||
| Lucas Emanuel Gamba | 14% (1/7) | ||
| Gonzalo Maroni | 11% (1/9) | ||
| Kevin Jappert | 17% (1/6) | ||
| Gonzalo Morales | 11% (1/9) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Facundo Bruera | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | Junior Marabel |
| Rodrigo Insua | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽⚽2 | Diego Churin |
| Ivan Tapia | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Cristian Zabala |
| Fernando Tobio | ⚽1 | ||
| Gonzalo Morales | ⚽1 | ||
| Kevin Jappert | ⚽1 | ||
| Lucas Emanuel Gamba | ⚽1 | ||
| Jhonatan Candia | ⚽1 | ||
| Gonzalo Maroni | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 40% | 90% |
Over corners 7.5 | 30% | 70% |
Over corners 8.5 | 20% | 40% |
Over corners 9.5 | 10% | 40% |
Over corners 10.5 | 10% | 40% |
Over corners 11.5 | 0% | 20% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 10% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 10% | 70% |
Over corners 3.5 | 10% | 50% |
Over corners 4.5 | 10% | 40% |
Over corners 5.5 | 0% | 30% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 10% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 90% | 100% |
1.5 | 60% | 100% |
2.5 | 40% | 90% |
3.5 | 10% | 70% |
4.5 | 10% | 10% |
5.5 | 10% | 10% |
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