Tigre vs Independiente Rivadavia — Prediction
02/04/2026
Tigre
22:30
Today
Independiente Rivadavia
-
1
-
X
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2
Match Preview
Tigre hosts Independiente Rivadavia in the Liga Profesional Apertura. Tigre is a slight bookmaker favorite (odds 2.3) despite recent mixed form (4 wins, 4 draws, 2 losses in the last 10 matches). Independiente Rivadavia, away from home, has a stronger record (6 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses) and a more consistent attack. Statistics suggest a potentially tight match with goals from both sides.
Our predictions
Both teams to score
In the last 10 matches, both teams have scored in 60% of Tigre's games (6/10) and in 70% of Independiente Rivadavia's games (7/10). The defenses are not solid (Tigre: 3 clean sheets; Rivadavia: 2). The attacks are active: David Romero (6 goals) for Tigre and Fabrizio Sartori (5 goals) for Rivadavia. No information on major absences was found, which increases the likelihood of an open match with goals from both sides.
2.18
Confidence
High
Under 2.5 goals
Statistics from the last 10 matches show a trend towards low-scoring games. Tigre finished under 2.5 goals in 60% of its matches (6/10) and Independiente Rivadavia in 50% (5/10). Draws are frequent for Tigre (4/10). The 'Over 2.5' indicators are low (Tigre 40%, Rivadavia 50%). Given the stakes and balanced defensive/offensive statistics, a tight match with fewer than 3 total goals is the most likely scenario.
1.41
Confidence
High
Draw
Tigre has drawn in 40% of its last 10 matches (4/10). Independiente Rivadavia, although more victorious, conceded 2 draws during this period. The odds for a draw (2.89) offer value. Performance analysis shows two teams with relatively balanced strengths: Tigre at home but in irregular form, Rivadavia performing away but facing a slight favorite. The lack of information on key injuries for both sides suggests full squads, which can favor balance on the field. The scenario of a points share is consistent with the 'BTTS' and 'Under 2.5' bets.
2.87
Confidence
Medium
Market Signals
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Success Rate per bet
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 4 4 2 | 6 2 2 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 75% | 71% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 100% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 80% |
Win by being a favorite | 25% | 71% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 100% | 100% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 100% | 33% |
Win by being an outsider | 100% | 33% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 60% 40% | 70% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 70% 30% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 20% 80% | 40% 60% |
Leading at half-time | 50% 50% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 30% | 50% |
2nd half | 50% | 50% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 70% 30% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 40% 60% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 80% 20% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 40% 60% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 20% 80% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| David Romero | 75% (6/8) | 40% (4/10) | Fabrizio Sartori |
| Ignacio Russo | 33% (3/9) | 30% (3/10) | Alejo Osella |
| Gonzalo Martinez | 13% (1/8) | 20% (2/10) | Matias Fernandez |
| Alan Barrionuevo | 11% (1/9) | 20% (2/10) | Jose Florentin |
| Alfio Oviedo | 11% (1/9) | 10% (1/10) | Gonzalo Rios |
| Ramon Arias | 11% (1/9) | 10% (1/10) | Sheyko Studer |
| Tiago Serrago | 11% (1/9) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| David Romero | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽6 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | Fabrizio Sartori |
| Ignacio Russo | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Alejo Osella |
| Gonzalo Martinez | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Matias Fernandez |
| Alfio Oviedo | ⚽1 | ⚽⚽2 | Jose Florentin |
| Tiago Serrago | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Sheyko Studer |
| Alan Barrionuevo | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Gonzalo Rios |
| Ramon Arias | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 80% | 60% |
Over corners 7.5 | 70% | 30% |
Over corners 8.5 | 60% | 30% |
Over corners 9.5 | 50% | 20% |
Over corners 10.5 | 30% | 20% |
Over corners 11.5 | 10% | 20% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 10% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 60% | 70% |
Over corners 3.5 | 60% | 50% |
Over corners 4.5 | 50% | 30% |
Over corners 5.5 | 40% | 20% |
Over corners 6.5 | 30% | 10% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 80% | 70% |
1.5 | 50% | 60% |
2.5 | 40% | 30% |
3.5 | 10% | 30% |
4.5 | 0% | 10% |
5.5 | 0% | 10% |
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