Aston Villa - Sunderland: our prediction
19/04/2026•15:00
Aston Villa
4:3
(2:1)
Finished
Sunderland
-
1
-
X
-
2
Aston Villa vs Sunderland Preview — Premier League
Aston Villa, the bookmakers' favorite with odds at 1.7, hosts Sunderland. In their last 10 matches, Aston Villa has won 5 times and Sunderland 4. Statistics show a success rate of 50% for the bet 'Both teams to score' for Aston Villa, compared to 30% for Sunderland. The bet 'Over 2.5 goals' has occurred 5 times out of 10 for Aston Villa and 3 times out of 10 for Sunderland.
Our Aston Villa vs Sunderland predictions
Aston Villa Win
Aston Villa is clearly the favorite (odds 1.7) and plays at home. In the last 10 matches, they have won 5 times compared to 4 for Sunderland. Their attack is more prolific (9 out of 10 matches with over 1.5 goals scored by the team) and they have a good ability to win as favorites (5 wins in 7 matches where they were favorites). Sunderland, away from home, has lost 5 of its last 10 matches.
1.73
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 goals
The bet 'Over 2.5 goals' has occurred in 50% of Aston Villa's last matches (5/10) and 30% of Sunderland's (3/10). Aston Villa has a strong attack (9/10 matches with over 1.5 goals scored by the team) and Sunderland has a defense that concedes (7/10 matches with under 2.5 goals conceded by the team, but this includes matches where they were favorites or underdogs). The combination of Villa's attack at home and the possibility of Sunderland scoring (see BTTS bet) makes this scenario plausible.
1.91
Confidence
Medium
Both teams to score
This bet has a success rate of 50% for Aston Villa in its last 10 matches (5/10) and 30% for Sunderland (3/10). Aston Villa scores regularly (9/10 matches with at least one goal) but does not often keep a clean sheet (only 4 clean sheets in 10). Sunderland, although less offensively effective, has scored in 6 of its last 10 matches. With Villa's defense not being impenetrable, Sunderland could find an opening.
1.83
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Aston Villa vs Sunderland
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Aston Villa vs Sunderland Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 5 1 4 | 4 1 5 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 71% | 50% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 50% | 100% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 100% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite | 71% | 50% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 33% | 50% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 0% | 38% |
Win by being an outsider | 0% | 38% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 50% 50% | 30% 50% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 60% 40% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 60% 40% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 40% 60% | 100% |
Leading at half-time | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 40% | 20% |
2nd half | 50% | 70% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 90% 10% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 50% 50% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 40% 60% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 90% 10% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 40% 60% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 20% 80% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Ollie Watkins | 60% (6/10) | 25% (2/8) | Nordi Mukiele |
| Emiliano Buendia | 40% (4/10) | 22% (2/9) | Trai Hume |
| Morgan Rogers | 44% (4/9) | 22% (2/9) | Brian Brobbey |
| John McGinn | 22% (2/9) | 20% (2/10) | Wilson Isidor |
| Ross Barkley | 17% (1/6) | 10% (1/10) | Chris Rigg |
| Tammy Abraham | 11% (1/9) | 11% (1/9) | Chemsdine Talbi |
| Youri Tielemans | 10% (1/10) | 11% (1/9) | Enzo Le Fee |
| Ezri Konsa | 11% (1/9) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Ollie Watkins | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽9 | ⚽⚽2 | Wilson Isidor |
| Morgan Rogers | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽2 | Trai Hume |
| Emiliano Buendia | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | ⚽⚽2 | Nordi Mukiele |
| John McGinn | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽2 | Brian Brobbey |
| Tammy Abraham | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Chemsdine Talbi |
| Ross Barkley | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Chris Rigg |
| Ezri Konsa | ⚽1 | ⚽1 | Enzo Le Fee |
| Youri Tielemans | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 60% | 100% |
Over corners 7.5 | 60% | 90% |
Over corners 8.5 | 60% | 80% |
Over corners 9.5 | 50% | 80% |
Over corners 10.5 | 30% | 40% |
Over corners 11.5 | 20% | 30% |
Over corners 12.5 | 0% | 30% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 80% | 70% |
Over corners 3.5 | 50% | 50% |
Over corners 4.5 | 40% | 50% |
Over corners 5.5 | 20% | 30% |
Over corners 6.5 | 0% | 20% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 70% | 100% |
1.5 | 50% | 60% |
2.5 | 20% | 40% |
3.5 | 0% | 20% |
4.5 | 0% | 20% |
5.5 | 0% | 10% |
Lineups
Aston Villa
4-2-3-1CoachUnai Emery
Starting XI
Substitutes
Sunderland
4-2-3-1CoachRegis Le Bris
Starting XI
Substitutes
Ranking by bet
| # | Team | Success | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  | Arsenal | 68%(26/38) |
| 2 |  | Manchester City | 61%(23/38) |
| 3 |  | Manchester United | 53%(20/38) |
| 4 | | Aston Villa | 50%(19/38) |
| 5 |  | Liverpool | 45%(17/38) |
| 6 |  | Fulham | 39%(15/38) |
| 7 |  | Chelsea | 37%(14/38) |
| 8 | | Sunderland | 37%(14/38) |
| 9 |  | Brentford | 37%(14/38) |
| 10 |  | Brighton & Hove Albion | 37%(14/38) |
| 11 |  | Newcastle United | 37%(14/38) |
| 12 |  | AFC Bournemouth | 34%(13/38) |
| 13 |  | Everton | 34%(13/38) |
| 14 |  | Leeds United | 29%(11/38) |
| 15 |  | Crystal Palace | 29%(11/38) |
| 16 |  | Nottingham Forest | 29%(11/38) |
| 17 |  | Tottenham Hotspur | 26%(10/38) |
| 18 |  | West Ham United | 26%(10/38) |
| 19 |  | Burnley | 11%(4/38) |
| 20 |  | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 8%(3/38) |
Guide complet des paris sportifs - Premier League
Bienvenue dans notre guide complet des paris sportifs pour Premier League. Que vous soyez un parieur débutant ou expérimenté, nous vous proposons une analyse approfondie et des conseils experts pour optimiser vos paris sur cette compétition.
Présentation de la compétition
Premier League est l'une des compétitions majeures de England. Avec son histoire riche et son niveau de jeu élevé, elle offre de nombreuses opportunités pour les parieurs avertis.
Types de paris populaires
Les paris les plus populaires dans cette compétition incluent :
- Paris sur le résultat final (1X2)
- Paris sur le nombre de buts
- Paris combinés
- Paris en direct
- Paris sur les buteurs
Facteurs clés à considérer
Pour réussir vos paris sur Premier League, prenez en compte ces éléments essentiels :
- Forme actuelle des équipes
- Historique des confrontations directes
- Blessures et suspensions
- Conditions météorologiques
- Enjeux du match
Stratégies de paris recommandées
Nos experts recommandent les stratégies suivantes pour cette compétition :
- Analyse approfondie des statistiques
- Suivi des tendances de marché
- Gestion rigoureuse de bankroll
- Diversification des types de paris
Outils et ressources
Pour optimiser vos paris, utilisez nos outils spécialisés :
- Comparateur de cotes en temps réel
- Analyses statistiques détaillées
- Prédictions basées sur l'intelligence artificielle
- Alertes de paris personnalisées
Betting actions
Manage your bets and alerts
TODAY'S OFFERS
Exclusive new customer offers