Nottingham Forest - Burnley: our prediction
19/04/2026•15:00
Nottingham Forest
4:1
(0:1)
Finished
Burnley
-
1
-
X
-
2
Nottingham Forest vs Burnley Preview — Premier League
Nottingham Forest, the home favorite, faces Burnley, who are struggling away. Recent statistics show a more effective attack from Forest, but a sometimes fragile defense. Burnley struggles to win and regularly concedes goals. A match where Forest should dominate, but Burnley could score.
Our Nottingham Forest vs Burnley predictions
Nottingham Forest to Win
Nottingham Forest is clearly favored (odds 1.47). In the last 10 matches, Forest has won 3 times, compared to only 1 for Burnley. At home, Forest is more solid, while Burnley has lost 7 of its last 10 matches. Forest's attack, with Gibbs-White (5 goals), is more dangerous. Burnley's defense is weak (clean sheet only 1 time in 10).
1.44
Confidence
High
Both Teams to Score
In the last 10 matches, Nottingham Forest has seen both teams score in 60% of cases (6/10). Burnley has a rate of 50% (5/10). Forest's defense kept a clean sheet only 3 times, Burnley's only 1 time. With Forest's attack (Gibbs-White, Awoniyi) and Burnley's (Flemming 3 goals), it is likely that each team will find the net.
1.85
Confidence
High
Over 2.5 Goals in the Match
Statistics show that 50% of Forest's last matches (5/10) and 50% of Burnley's (5/10) had over 2.5 goals. Forest scored at least 1 goal in 9 of its last 10 matches, Burnley in 9/10 as well. The combination of an effective Forest attack and a weak Burnley defense (9 matches out of 10 with goals conceded) favors a match with several goals. A score of 2-1 or 2-0 is plausible.
1.71
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Nottingham Forest vs Burnley
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Nottingham Forest vs Burnley Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 3 4 3 | 1 2 7 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 67% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 50% | 0% |
Win by being a favorite | 33% | 0% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 75% | 33% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 25% | 11% |
Win by being an outsider | 25% | 11% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 30% 70% | 10% 90% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 60% 40% | 50% 60% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 40% 60% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 80% 20% | 80% 20% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 100% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 30% 70% | 40% 60% |
Leading at half-time | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 40% | 40% |
2nd half | 50% | 20% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 70% 30% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 10% 90% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 100% | 20% 80% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 80% 20% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 30% 70% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 10% 90% | 20% 80% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Gibbs-White | 50% (5/10) | 44% (4/9) | Zian Flemming |
| Igor Jesus | 30% (3/10) | 10% (1/10) | Loum Tchaouna |
| Elliot Anderson | 22% (2/9) | 10% (1/10) | Jaidon Anthony |
| Chris Wood | 20% (2/10) | ||
| Taiwo Awoniyi | 17% (1/6) | ||
| Neco Williams | 10% (1/10) | ||
| Morato | 10% (1/10) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Gibbs-White | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽7 | ⚽⚽⚽⚽4 | Zian Flemming |
| Igor Jesus | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽1 | Jaidon Anthony |
| Taiwo Awoniyi | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Loum Tchaouna |
| Chris Wood | ⚽⚽2 | ||
| Elliot Anderson | ⚽⚽2 | ||
| Morato | ⚽1 | ||
| Neco Williams | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 100% | 90% |
Over corners 7.5 | 80% | 80% |
Over corners 8.5 | 60% | 80% |
Over corners 9.5 | 30% | 70% |
Over corners 10.5 | 20% | 40% |
Over corners 11.5 | 20% | 40% |
Over corners 12.5 | 20% | 20% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 80% | 80% |
Over corners 3.5 | 70% | 70% |
Over corners 4.5 | 60% | 60% |
Over corners 5.5 | 40% | 30% |
Over corners 6.5 | 40% | 20% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 90% | 100% |
1.5 | 50% | 70% |
2.5 | 10% | 30% |
3.5 | 10% | 20% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Lineups
Nottingham Forest
4-2-3-1CoachVitor Pereira
Starting XI
Substitutes
Burnley
4-2-3-1CoachScott Parker
Starting XI
Substitutes
Ranking by bet
| # | Team | Success | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  | Arsenal | 68%(26/38) |
| 2 |  | Manchester City | 61%(23/38) |
| 3 |  | Manchester United | 53%(20/38) |
| 4 |  | Aston Villa | 50%(19/38) |
| 5 |  | Liverpool | 45%(17/38) |
| 6 |  | Fulham | 39%(15/38) |
| 7 |  | Brighton & Hove Albion | 37%(14/38) |
| 8 |  | Newcastle United | 37%(14/38) |
| 9 |  | Chelsea | 37%(14/38) |
| 10 |  | Sunderland | 37%(14/38) |
| 11 |  | Brentford | 37%(14/38) |
| 12 |  | Everton | 34%(13/38) |
| 13 |  | AFC Bournemouth | 34%(13/38) |
| 14 |  | Leeds United | 29%(11/38) |
| 15 |  | Crystal Palace | 29%(11/38) |
| 16 | | Nottingham Forest | 29%(11/38) |
| 17 |  | Tottenham Hotspur | 26%(10/38) |
| 18 |  | West Ham United | 26%(10/38) |
| 19 | | Burnley | 11%(4/38) |
| 20 |  | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 8%(3/38) |
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