Ajax - Sparta Rotterdam: our prediction
14/03/2026•21:00
Ajax
4:0
(2:0)
Finished
Sparta Rotterdam
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1
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X
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2
Ajax vs Sparta Rotterdam Preview — Eredivisie
Ajax, the home favorite, faces Sparta Rotterdam. Despite mixed form (3 wins in the last 10 matches), Ajax benefits from a statistical home advantage. Sparta Rotterdam, less effective away, shows a regular scoring ability. Recent statistics suggest an open match with goals from both sides.
Our Ajax vs Sparta Rotterdam predictions
0.5 (More goals per team)
Sparta Rotterdam has scored at least one goal in 100% of its last 10 matches (10/10). Even away, their attack is consistent. Facing an Ajax defense that kept only 2 clean sheets in 10 matches, it is very likely that Sparta Rotterdam will find the back of the net.
1.36
Confidence
Very high
Both teams to score
Ajax has seen both teams score in 80% of its last 10 matches (8/10). Sparta Rotterdam managed to score in 70% of its last 10 matches (7/10). The defenses of both teams are leaky: Ajax kept only 2 clean sheets, Sparta Rotterdam 3. With capable attacks and vulnerable defenses, this scenario is highly likely.
1.54
Confidence
High
2.5 (More goals per match)
In the last 10 matches, Ajax exceeded 2.5 goals in 60% of cases (6/10), and Sparta Rotterdam in 50% of cases (5/10). Ajax's offensive trend at home and Sparta's ability to score away support this bet. However, confidence is moderate as Ajax also had matches under 2.5 goals (4/10).
1.53
Confidence
Medium
Market signals on Ajax vs Sparta Rotterdam
PROPredictions detected by our algorithms and recommended by the market
Ajax vs Sparta Rotterdam Statistics
Win
 |  | |
|---|---|---|
Win | 3 5 2 | 4 3 3 |
Win Draw Lose | ||
When Favorite
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being a favorite | 86% | 83% |
Victory by being rated between 1.00 and 1.20 | 0% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.21 and 1.50 | 100% | 0% |
Victory by being rated between 1.51 and 1.80 | 0% | 50% |
Victory by being rated between 1.81 and above | 0% | 33% |
Win by being a favorite | 29% | 33% |
When Outsider
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Did not lose by being an outsider | 67% | 50% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.0 and 1.2 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.21 and 1.5 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.51 and 1.8 | 0% | 0% |
Win against an opponent rated between 1.8 and above | 33% | 50% |
Win by being an outsider | 33% | 50% |
Clean sheet
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Clean sheet | 20% 80% | 30% 70% |
Yes No | ||
Both teams score
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Both teams score | 80% 20% | 70% 80% |
Yes No | ||
Half-time
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Draw at halftime | 50% 50% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 60% 40% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 60% 40% | 60% 40% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 40% 60% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 50% 50% | 10% 90% |
Leading at half-time | 50% 50% | 30% 70% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Half with most goals
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
1st half | 20% | 20% |
2nd half | 30% | 70% |
Goals Over/Under
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 per game | 90% 10% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 per game | 90% 10% | 90% 10% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 per game | 60% 40% | 50% 50% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 per game | 40% 60% | 30% 70% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 per game | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
More goals Under goals | ||
Goals Over/Under (by team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Goals Over/Under 0.5 by team | 90% 10% | 100% |
Goals Over/Under 1.5 by team | 50% 50% | 40% 60% |
Goals Over/Under 2.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 3.5 by team | 10% 90% | 10% 90% |
Goals Over/Under 4.5 by team | 100% | 100% |
More goals Under goals | ||
% of matches in which a player has scored
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Mika Godts | 50% (5/10) | 30% (3/10) | Milan Zonneveld |
| Davy Klaassen | 50% (3/6) | 20% (2/10) | Shunsuke Mito |
| Wout Weghorst | 38% (3/8) | 20% (2/10) | Tobias Lauritsen |
| Steven Berghuis | 20% (2/10) | 10% (1/10) | Ayoni Santos |
| Anton Gaaei | 20% (2/10) | 13% (1/8) | Mitchell van Bergen |
| Oscar Gloukh | 10% (1/10) | ||
| Sean Steur | 10% (1/10) | ||
| Jorthy Mokio | 10% (1/10) |
Total goals per player
| 1 | 2 | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Mika Godts | ⚽⚽⚽⚽⚽5 | ⚽⚽⚽3 | Milan Zonneveld |
| Steven Berghuis | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽2 | Tobias Lauritsen |
| Davy Klaassen | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽⚽2 | Shunsuke Mito |
| Wout Weghorst | ⚽⚽⚽3 | ⚽1 | Ayoni Santos |
| Anton Gaaei | ⚽⚽2 | ⚽1 | Mitchell van Bergen |
| Oscar Gloukh | ⚽1 | ||
| Sean Steur | ⚽1 | ||
| Jorthy Mokio | ⚽1 |
Over corners (per game)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 6.5 | 60% | 100% |
Over corners 7.5 | 60% | 100% |
Over corners 8.5 | 60% | 100% |
Over corners 9.5 | 50% | 60% |
Over corners 10.5 | 40% | 50% |
Over corners 11.5 | 40% | 40% |
Over corners 12.5 | 30% | 30% |
Over corners (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
Over corners 2.5 | 80% | 80% |
Over corners 3.5 | 70% | 70% |
Over corners 4.5 | 50% | 70% |
Over corners 5.5 | 30% | 70% |
Over corners 6.5 | 20% | 50% |
Over X yellow cards (per team)
| 1 | 2 | |
|---|---|---|
0.5 | 60% | 90% |
1.5 | 30% | 60% |
2.5 | 0% | 40% |
3.5 | 0% | 0% |
4.5 | 0% | 0% |
5.5 | 0% | 0% |
Lineups
Ajax
4-3-3CoachOscar Garcia
Starting XI
Substitutes
Sparta Rotterdam
4-2-3-1CoachMaurice Steijn
Starting XI
Substitutes
Ranking by bet
| # | Team | Success | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  | PSV Eindhoven | 79%(27/34) |
| 2 |  | Feyenoord | 56%(19/34) |
| 3 |  | NEC Nijmegen | 47%(16/34) |
| 4 |  | FC Utrecht | 44%(16/36) |
| 5 | | Ajax | 42%(15/36) |
| 6 |  | FC Twente | 44%(15/34) |
| 7 |  | AZ Alkmaar | 41%(14/34) |
| 8 |  | FC Groningen | 40%(14/35) |
| 9 |  | SC Heerenveen | 40%(14/35) |
| 10 | | Sparta Rotterdam | 35%(12/34) |
| 11 |  | Fortuna Sittard | 32%(11/34) |
| 12 |  | Excelsior | 29%(10/34) |
| 13 |  | Telstar | 26%(9/34) |
| 14 |  | PEC Zwolle | 26%(9/34) |
| 15 |  | Go Ahead Eagles | 24%(8/34) |
| 16 |  | FC Volendam | 24%(8/34) |
| 17 |  | NAC Breda | 18%(6/34) |
| 18 |  | Heracles | 15%(5/34) |
Guide complet des paris sportifs - Eredivisie
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Présentation de la compétition
Eredivisie est l'une des compétitions majeures de Netherlands. Avec son histoire riche et son niveau de jeu élevé, elle offre de nombreuses opportunités pour les parieurs avertis.
Types de paris populaires
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Facteurs clés à considérer
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Stratégies de paris recommandées
Nos experts recommandent les stratégies suivantes pour cette compétition :
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